Olivia's dominant 81% implied probability as the most popular girl name in 2025 reflects its unbroken reign as the U.S. Social Security Administration's (SSA) top girl name for five consecutive years through 2023, a trend reinforced by BabyCenter's preliminary 2024 data showing it leading through October. Trader consensus prioritizes this historical stability and cultural inertia, amplified by pop culture icons like Olivia Rodrigo, over fragmented challengers like Emma (4.7%), which clings to second place but lacks momentum. Amelia (2.1%) and Charlotte (1.1%) draw minor support from UK crossover appeal and Disney influences, yet no recent developments—such as viral celebrity births or media shifts—signal an upset, with full SSA 2024 rankings due next spring as a key watchpoint.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMenina nome mais popular 2025
Menina nome mais popular 2025
Olivia 81.0%
Emma 4.7%
Amelia 3.4%
Charlotte 1.1%
$233,007 Vol.
$233,007 Vol.
Olivia
81%
Emma
5%
Amelia
3%
Charlotte
1%
Sofia
1%
Evelyn
1%
Mia
1%
Sophia
1%
Ava
<1%
Isabella
<1%
Olivia 81.0%
Emma 4.7%
Amelia 3.4%
Charlotte 1.1%
$233,007 Vol.
$233,007 Vol.
Olivia
81%
Emma
5%
Amelia
3%
Charlotte
1%
Sofia
1%
Evelyn
1%
Mia
1%
Sophia
1%
Ava
<1%
Isabella
<1%
The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.
This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Mercado Aberto: Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Olivia's dominant 81% implied probability as the most popular girl name in 2025 reflects its unbroken reign as the U.S. Social Security Administration's (SSA) top girl name for five consecutive years through 2023, a trend reinforced by BabyCenter's preliminary 2024 data showing it leading through October. Trader consensus prioritizes this historical stability and cultural inertia, amplified by pop culture icons like Olivia Rodrigo, over fragmented challengers like Emma (4.7%), which clings to second place but lacks momentum. Amelia (2.1%) and Charlotte (1.1%) draw minor support from UK crossover appeal and Disney influences, yet no recent developments—such as viral celebrity births or media shifts—signal an upset, with full SSA 2024 rankings due next spring as a key watchpoint.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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