Trader consensus slightly favors Inter Miami CF at 23% implied probability for the 2026 MLS Cup, driven by Lionel Messi's ongoing impact—despite turning 39—and the veteran Designated Players like Luis Suárez who powered the 2024 Supporters' Shield win, though their playoff flameout underscores Eastern Conference volatility. LAFC follows at 19.5%, backed by consistent Western Conference finals appearances and stars like Denis Bouanga, even after a disappointing 2024 wild card exit. San Diego FC's 9.6% captures expansion hype with deep pockets for transfer window splashes ahead of their 2025 debut under coach Steve Cherundolo. Nashville SC (7%) benefits from defensive stalwarts like Walker Zimmerman. MLS salary cap parity, annual roster flux via drafts and free agency, plus the grueling 34-game slog to playoffs, keeps top outcomes bunched in this wide-open race two seasons out.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoInter Miami CF 23%
Los Angeles FC 20%
San Diego FC 9.6%
Nashville SC 6.9%
$6,498,154 Vol.
$6,498,154 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
23%
Los Angeles FC
20%
San Diego FC
10%
Nashville SC
7%
Orlando City SC
5%
Real Salt Lake
5%
FC Cincinnati
4%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
Columbus Crew
4%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
4%
New York City FC
4%
San Jose Earthquakes
3%
LA Galaxy
2%
Portland Timbers
2%
Charlotte FC
2%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Austin FC
1%
Philadelphia Union
1%
Toronto FC
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
St. Louis City SC
1%
New York Red Bulls
1%
New England Revolution
1%
FC Dallas
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Chicago Fire FC
<1%
Colorado Rapids
<1%
D.C. United
<1%
Houston Dynamo FC
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
Inter Miami CF 23%
Los Angeles FC 20%
San Diego FC 9.6%
Nashville SC 6.9%
$6,498,154 Vol.
$6,498,154 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
23%
Los Angeles FC
20%
San Diego FC
10%
Nashville SC
7%
Orlando City SC
5%
Real Salt Lake
5%
FC Cincinnati
4%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
Columbus Crew
4%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
4%
New York City FC
4%
San Jose Earthquakes
3%
LA Galaxy
2%
Portland Timbers
2%
Charlotte FC
2%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Austin FC
1%
Philadelphia Union
1%
Toronto FC
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
St. Louis City SC
1%
New York Red Bulls
1%
New England Revolution
1%
FC Dallas
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Chicago Fire FC
<1%
Colorado Rapids
<1%
D.C. United
<1%
Houston Dynamo FC
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus slightly favors Inter Miami CF at 23% implied probability for the 2026 MLS Cup, driven by Lionel Messi's ongoing impact—despite turning 39—and the veteran Designated Players like Luis Suárez who powered the 2024 Supporters' Shield win, though their playoff flameout underscores Eastern Conference volatility. LAFC follows at 19.5%, backed by consistent Western Conference finals appearances and stars like Denis Bouanga, even after a disappointing 2024 wild card exit. San Diego FC's 9.6% captures expansion hype with deep pockets for transfer window splashes ahead of their 2025 debut under coach Steve Cherundolo. Nashville SC (7%) benefits from defensive stalwarts like Walker Zimmerman. MLS salary cap parity, annual roster flux via drafts and free agency, plus the grueling 34-game slog to playoffs, keeps top outcomes bunched in this wide-open race two seasons out.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions