Inter Miami CF leads trader consensus for MLS Cup 2026 at 19% implied probability, driven by Lionel Messi's star power and a solid 3-1-1 regular-season start capped by a 3-2 comeback win at New York City FC, despite their Concacaf Champions Cup ouster by Nashville SC on away goals. LAFC sits close at 15.5% after a historic unbeaten streak (four wins before a scoreless draw at Austin FC), showcasing defensive solidity with clean sheets. Vancouver Whitecaps (8.1%) impress in the loaded Western Conference via high-possession play and a near-perfect record until a recent 1-0 loss, while San Diego FC's explosive expansion debut (including a 5-0 rout of CF Montréal) and Nashville SC's surge—fueled by Sam Surridge's Golden Boot-leading hat trick—highlight MLS parity and playoff unpredictability early in the campaign.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoInter Miami CF 19%
Los Angeles FC 16%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 8.1%
San Diego FC 5.6%
$11,497,752 Vol.
$11,497,752 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
19%
Los Angeles FC
16%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
8%
San Diego FC
6%
Nashville SC
5%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
New York City FC
4%
FC Cincinnati
3%
Columbus Crew
2%
Real Salt Lake
2%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Orlando City SC
2%
LA Galaxy
2%
Minnesota United FC
2%
Charlotte FC
1%
Philadelphia Union
1%
Toronto FC
1%
Houston Dynamo FC
1%
San Jose Earthquakes
1%
Austin FC
1%
Chicago Fire FC
1%
Portland Timbers
1%
Atlanta United FC
<1%
FC Dallas
<1%
St. Louis City SC
<1%
Colorado Rapids
<1%
New England Revolution
<1%
D.C. United
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
Inter Miami CF 19%
Los Angeles FC 16%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 8.1%
San Diego FC 5.6%
$11,497,752 Vol.
$11,497,752 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
19%
Los Angeles FC
16%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
8%
San Diego FC
6%
Nashville SC
5%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
New York City FC
4%
FC Cincinnati
3%
Columbus Crew
2%
Real Salt Lake
2%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Orlando City SC
2%
LA Galaxy
2%
Minnesota United FC
2%
Charlotte FC
1%
Philadelphia Union
1%
Toronto FC
1%
Houston Dynamo FC
1%
San Jose Earthquakes
1%
Austin FC
1%
Chicago Fire FC
1%
Portland Timbers
1%
Atlanta United FC
<1%
FC Dallas
<1%
St. Louis City SC
<1%
Colorado Rapids
<1%
New England Revolution
<1%
D.C. United
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Inter Miami CF leads trader consensus for MLS Cup 2026 at 19% implied probability, driven by Lionel Messi's star power and a solid 3-1-1 regular-season start capped by a 3-2 comeback win at New York City FC, despite their Concacaf Champions Cup ouster by Nashville SC on away goals. LAFC sits close at 15.5% after a historic unbeaten streak (four wins before a scoreless draw at Austin FC), showcasing defensive solidity with clean sheets. Vancouver Whitecaps (8.1%) impress in the loaded Western Conference via high-possession play and a near-perfect record until a recent 1-0 loss, while San Diego FC's explosive expansion debut (including a 5-0 rout of CF Montréal) and Nashville SC's surge—fueled by Sam Surridge's Golden Boot-leading hat trick—highlight MLS parity and playoff unpredictability early in the campaign.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions