Paul Skenes tops trader consensus at 27% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young, buoyed by his electric 2024 rookie campaign with a 1.96 ERA and 170 strikeouts in 133 innings, but Hunter Greene, Mitch Keller, and prospect Jacob Misiorowski cluster tightly behind due to their own high-velocity arsenals and breakout potential. Greene's mid-90s fastball and improved command, Keller's career-best 3.91 ERA across 181 frames, and Misiorowski's triple-digit heat in his late-2024 Brewers debut highlight a deep NL rotation talent pool. Established aces like Chris Sale (recent Cy winner) and Zack Wheeler add recovery narratives, while Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Shohei Ohtani's Dodgers star power keep the market volatile, underscoring uncertainty in innings durability and team context two seasons out.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoPaul Skenes 23%
Cristopher Sanchez 16%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 9%
Brandon Woodruff 6.0%
Paul Skenes
28%
Cristopher Sanchez
16%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
8%
Brandon Woodruff
6%
Freddy Peralta
6%
Chris Sale
9%
Hunter Greene
23%
Blake Snell
5%
Tyler Glasnow
5%
Nick Lodolo
5%
Eury Perez
6%
Zack Wheeler
6%
Jacob Misiorowski
21%
Logan Webb
2%
Shohei Ohtani
8%
Nolan McLean
6%
Spencer Strider
6%
Jesus Luzardo
6%
Nick Pivetta
6%
Michael King
1%
Spencer Schwellenbach
1%
Mitch Keller
23%
Paul Skenes 23%
Cristopher Sanchez 16%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 9%
Brandon Woodruff 6.0%
Paul Skenes
28%
Cristopher Sanchez
16%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
8%
Brandon Woodruff
6%
Freddy Peralta
6%
Chris Sale
9%
Hunter Greene
23%
Blake Snell
5%
Tyler Glasnow
5%
Nick Lodolo
5%
Eury Perez
6%
Zack Wheeler
6%
Jacob Misiorowski
21%
Logan Webb
2%
Shohei Ohtani
8%
Nolan McLean
6%
Spencer Strider
6%
Jesus Luzardo
6%
Nick Pivetta
6%
Michael King
1%
Spencer Schwellenbach
1%
Mitch Keller
23%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul Skenes tops trader consensus at 27% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young, buoyed by his electric 2024 rookie campaign with a 1.96 ERA and 170 strikeouts in 133 innings, but Hunter Greene, Mitch Keller, and prospect Jacob Misiorowski cluster tightly behind due to their own high-velocity arsenals and breakout potential. Greene's mid-90s fastball and improved command, Keller's career-best 3.91 ERA across 181 frames, and Misiorowski's triple-digit heat in his late-2024 Brewers debut highlight a deep NL rotation talent pool. Established aces like Chris Sale (recent Cy winner) and Zack Wheeler add recovery narratives, while Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Shohei Ohtani's Dodgers star power keep the market volatile, underscoring uncertainty in innings durability and team context two seasons out.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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