Paul Skenes holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 27% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young, fueled by his runner-up finish in 2024 voting with a 1.96 ERA and 170 strikeouts over 133 innings, but the race stays bunched due to a cluster of high-velocity young arms with massive upside. Hunter Greene (22.9%) and Pirates teammate Mitch Keller (22.8%) trail closely on breakout 2024 campaigns—Greene's 2.75 ERA and 103-mph heat, Keller's innings-eating reliability—while Brewers prospect Jacob Misiorowski (20.6%) surges on minor-league dominance signaling rapid MLB ascent. Injury histories for veterans like Sale and Strider, plus workload limits for rookies, keep the wisdom of crowds cautious amid unpredictable pitcher health and rotation battles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoPaul Skenes 23%
Cristopher Sanchez 16%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 9%
Freddy Peralta 6.0%
Paul Skenes
22%
Cristopher Sanchez
16%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
8%
Freddy Peralta
6%
Chris Sale
9%
Blake Snell
5%
Hunter Greene
5%
Tyler Glasnow
5%
Nick Lodolo
5%
Eury Perez
6%
Zack Wheeler
6%
Jacob Misiorowski
21%
Logan Webb
2%
Shohei Ohtani
8%
Nolan McLean
6%
Spencer Strider
6%
Jesus Luzardo
6%
Nick Pivetta
6%
Brandon Woodruff
6%
Michael King
1%
Spencer Schwellenbach
1%
Mitch Keller
23%
Paul Skenes 23%
Cristopher Sanchez 16%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 9%
Freddy Peralta 6.0%
Paul Skenes
22%
Cristopher Sanchez
16%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
8%
Freddy Peralta
6%
Chris Sale
9%
Blake Snell
5%
Hunter Greene
5%
Tyler Glasnow
5%
Nick Lodolo
5%
Eury Perez
6%
Zack Wheeler
6%
Jacob Misiorowski
21%
Logan Webb
2%
Shohei Ohtani
8%
Nolan McLean
6%
Spencer Strider
6%
Jesus Luzardo
6%
Nick Pivetta
6%
Brandon Woodruff
6%
Michael King
1%
Spencer Schwellenbach
1%
Mitch Keller
23%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul Skenes holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 27% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young, fueled by his runner-up finish in 2024 voting with a 1.96 ERA and 170 strikeouts over 133 innings, but the race stays bunched due to a cluster of high-velocity young arms with massive upside. Hunter Greene (22.9%) and Pirates teammate Mitch Keller (22.8%) trail closely on breakout 2024 campaigns—Greene's 2.75 ERA and 103-mph heat, Keller's innings-eating reliability—while Brewers prospect Jacob Misiorowski (20.6%) surges on minor-league dominance signaling rapid MLB ascent. Injury histories for veterans like Sale and Strider, plus workload limits for rookies, keep the wisdom of crowds cautious amid unpredictable pitcher health and rotation battles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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