Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 20°C today at Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance projecting a daytime high of 14–21°C under persistent overcast skies and light northerly winds, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging tightly around 20°C. Current hourly observations from morning through midday—peaking near 17–19°C amid dense cloud cover—reinforce this positioning, consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover near 21°C but synoptic cooling suppresses peaks. Realistic challenges include brief afternoon cloud breaks allowing solar heating to nudge readings to 21°C, though model uncertainty bands remain narrow; final official data from CMA monitoring will resolve post-local midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$88,833 Vol.
$88,833 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$88,833 Vol.
$88,833 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 20°C today at Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance projecting a daytime high of 14–21°C under persistent overcast skies and light northerly winds, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging tightly around 20°C. Current hourly observations from morning through midday—peaking near 17–19°C amid dense cloud cover—reinforce this positioning, consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover near 21°C but synoptic cooling suppresses peaks. Realistic challenges include brief afternoon cloud breaks allowing solar heating to nudge readings to 21°C, though model uncertainty bands remain narrow; final official data from CMA monitoring will resolve post-local midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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