Official NOAA observations from Istanbul Airport (LTBA) confirm the highest temperature on April 10, 2026, reached exactly 9°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This unusually cool reading—4–7°C below the April climatological average high of 13–16°C—stems from a persistent low-pressure system over the Marmara Sea, fostering northerly cold air advection, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, as corroborated by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) regional summaries noting temperatures 2–4°C below norms. With preliminary data solidified post-midnight UTC, realistic challenges include rare quality-control revisions by NOAA (e.g., sensor drift corrections under 1°C), though airport station reliability minimizes such risks ahead of final archiving.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 10?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 10?
9°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$42,660 Vol.
$42,660 Vol.
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$42,660 Vol.
$42,660 Vol.
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 6, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official NOAA observations from Istanbul Airport (LTBA) confirm the highest temperature on April 10, 2026, reached exactly 9°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This unusually cool reading—4–7°C below the April climatological average high of 13–16°C—stems from a persistent low-pressure system over the Marmara Sea, fostering northerly cold air advection, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, as corroborated by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) regional summaries noting temperatures 2–4°C below norms. With preliminary data solidified post-midnight UTC, realistic challenges include rare quality-control revisions by NOAA (e.g., sensor drift corrections under 1°C), though airport station reliability minimizes such risks ahead of final archiving.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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