The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement confirms a maximum air temperature of 27°C on April 11, 2026, recorded at its King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with a southerly airstream and early-morning readings near 26°C, amid normal to above-normal April conditions forecasted by the Observatory, where mean maximums typically hover around 26°C amid variable cloud cover suppressing extremes. Historical April data shows peaks rarely exceeding 30°C without heatwaves, and no such event occurred here. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a data revision from quality-controlled observations or dispute over the reference site could shift it, with next daily summary expected soon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 11 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 11 de abril?
27°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$192,509 Vol.
$192,509 Vol.
20°C ou menos
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Sim
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C ou mais
Não
27°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$192,509 Vol.
$192,509 Vol.
20°C ou menos
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Sim
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement confirms a maximum air temperature of 27°C on April 11, 2026, recorded at its King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with a southerly airstream and early-morning readings near 26°C, amid normal to above-normal April conditions forecasted by the Observatory, where mean maximums typically hover around 26°C amid variable cloud cover suppressing extremes. Historical April data shows peaks rarely exceeding 30°C without heatwaves, and no such event occurred here. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a data revision from quality-controlled observations or dispute over the reference site could shift it, with next daily summary expected soon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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