Trader consensus heavily favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 96.7% implied probability to win Georgia's 14th Congressional District special runoff on April 7, driven by the district's strong Republican lean (R+19 PVI, where Donald Trump took 68% in 2024) and Fuller's presidential endorsement, positioning him to consolidate the GOP vote fragmented in the March 10 special election (Fuller 35%, Harris 37%). As Lookout Mountain Judicial Circuit district attorney, Fuller's focus on public safety and America First priorities resonates in this northwest Georgia battleground. Early voting, which began March 30 and recently concluded, showed steady participation without major turnout surprises favoring Democrat Shawn Harris, the retired brigadier general who led the crowded primary field. Scenarios that could challenge Fuller's lead include a Democratic turnout surge, depressed Republican participation, or an unforeseen scandal, though the district's historical patterns favor the GOP nominee.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoClayton Fuller 96.4%
Shawn Harris 3.7%
Colton Moore <1%
Chuck Hufstetler <1%
$227,815 Vol.
$227,815 Vol.
Clayton Fuller
96%
Shawn Harris
4%
Colton Moore
<1%
Chuck Hufstetler
<1%
Katie Dempsey
<1%
Jason Anavitarte
<1%
Jeff Criswell
<1%
Jennifer Strahan
<1%
Marcus Flowers
<1%
Tyler Paul Smith
<1%
Trey Kelley
<1%
Rob Ruszkowski
<1%
Holly McCormack
<1%
Brian Stover
<1%
John Cowan
<1%
Kasey Carpenter
<1%
Star Black
<1%
Laura Loomer
<1%
Elvis Casely
<1%
Martin Momtahan
<1%
Matt Barton
<1%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
<1%
Clarence Blalock
<1%
Eddie Lumsden
<1%
Clayton Fuller 96.4%
Shawn Harris 3.7%
Colton Moore <1%
Chuck Hufstetler <1%
$227,815 Vol.
$227,815 Vol.
Clayton Fuller
96%
Shawn Harris
4%
Colton Moore
<1%
Chuck Hufstetler
<1%
Katie Dempsey
<1%
Jason Anavitarte
<1%
Jeff Criswell
<1%
Jennifer Strahan
<1%
Marcus Flowers
<1%
Tyler Paul Smith
<1%
Trey Kelley
<1%
Rob Ruszkowski
<1%
Holly McCormack
<1%
Brian Stover
<1%
John Cowan
<1%
Kasey Carpenter
<1%
Star Black
<1%
Laura Loomer
<1%
Elvis Casely
<1%
Martin Momtahan
<1%
Matt Barton
<1%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
<1%
Clarence Blalock
<1%
Eddie Lumsden
<1%
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 26, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 96.7% implied probability to win Georgia's 14th Congressional District special runoff on April 7, driven by the district's strong Republican lean (R+19 PVI, where Donald Trump took 68% in 2024) and Fuller's presidential endorsement, positioning him to consolidate the GOP vote fragmented in the March 10 special election (Fuller 35%, Harris 37%). As Lookout Mountain Judicial Circuit district attorney, Fuller's focus on public safety and America First priorities resonates in this northwest Georgia battleground. Early voting, which began March 30 and recently concluded, showed steady participation without major turnout surprises favoring Democrat Shawn Harris, the retired brigadier general who led the crowded primary field. Scenarios that could challenge Fuller's lead include a Democratic turnout surge, depressed Republican participation, or an unforeseen scandal, though the district's historical patterns favor the GOP nominee.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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