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Vencedor da eleição especial GA-14?

Market icon

Vencedor da eleição especial GA-14?

Clayton Fuller 96.4%

Shawn Harris 3.7%

Colton Moore <1%

Chuck Hufstetler <1%

Polymarket

$227,815 Vol.

Clayton Fuller 96.4%

Shawn Harris 3.7%

Colton Moore <1%

Chuck Hufstetler <1%

Polymarket

$227,815 Vol.

Clayton Fuller

$58,340 Vol.

96%

Shawn Harris

$100,977 Vol.

4%

Colton Moore

$18,538 Vol.

<1%

Chuck Hufstetler

$3,071 Vol.

<1%

Katie Dempsey

$6,226 Vol.

<1%

Jason Anavitarte

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jeff Criswell

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jennifer Strahan

$3,546 Vol.

<1%

Marcus Flowers

$0 Vol.

<1%

Tyler Paul Smith

$0 Vol.

<1%

Trey Kelley

$3,428 Vol.

<1%

Rob Ruszkowski

$6,808 Vol.

<1%

Holly McCormack

$0 Vol.

<1%

Brian Stover

$0 Vol.

<1%

John Cowan

$4,217 Vol.

<1%

Kasey Carpenter

$3,858 Vol.

<1%

Star Black

$7,222 Vol.

<1%

Laura Loomer

$0 Vol.

<1%

Elvis Casely

$4,549 Vol.

<1%

Martin Momtahan

$0 Vol.

<1%

Matt Barton

$3,273 Vol.

<1%

Uloma Ekpete Kama

$3,764 Vol.

<1%

Clarence Blalock

$0 Vol.

<1%

Eddie Lumsden

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.Trader consensus heavily favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 96.7% implied probability to win Georgia's 14th Congressional District special runoff on April 7, driven by the district's strong Republican lean (R+19 PVI, where Donald Trump took 68% in 2024) and Fuller's presidential endorsement, positioning him to consolidate the GOP vote fragmented in the March 10 special election (Fuller 35%, Harris 37%). As Lookout Mountain Judicial Circuit district attorney, Fuller's focus on public safety and America First priorities resonates in this northwest Georgia battleground. Early voting, which began March 30 and recently concluded, showed steady participation without major turnout surprises favoring Democrat Shawn Harris, the retired brigadier general who led the crowded primary field. Scenarios that could challenge Fuller's lead include a Democratic turnout surge, depressed Republican participation, or an unforeseen scandal, though the district's historical patterns favor the GOP nominee.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
Volume
$227,815
Data de Término
15 fev 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 26, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.Trader consensus heavily favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 96.7% implied probability to win Georgia's 14th Congressional District special runoff on April 7, driven by the district's strong Republican lean (R+19 PVI, where Donald Trump took 68% in 2024) and Fuller's presidential endorsement, positioning him to consolidate the GOP vote fragmented in the March 10 special election (Fuller 35%, Harris 37%). As Lookout Mountain Judicial Circuit district attorney, Fuller's focus on public safety and America First priorities resonates in this northwest Georgia battleground. Early voting, which began March 30 and recently concluded, showed steady participation without major turnout surprises favoring Democrat Shawn Harris, the retired brigadier general who led the crowded primary field. Scenarios that could challenge Fuller's lead include a Democratic turnout surge, depressed Republican participation, or an unforeseen scandal, though the district's historical patterns favor the GOP nominee.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
Volume
$227,815
Data de Término
15 fev 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 26, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição especial GA-14?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Clayton Fuller" at 96%, followed by "Shawn Harris" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição especial GA-14?" has generated $227.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição especial GA-14?," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição especial GA-14?" is "Clayton Fuller" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shawn Harris" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição especial GA-14?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.