Brazil's five-time World Cup champion pedigree and deep talent pool, including Endrick's recent international emergence under Carlo Ancelotti, drive their 76.5% implied probability as Group C favorites, despite mixed March friendlies—a 1-2 loss to France and 3-1 win over Croatia—and Ancelotti labeling the draw "difficult." Morocco's 19.5% trader consensus stems from their 2022 semifinal heroics, No. 8 FIFA ranking, top CAF qualifying finish, and strong recent form highlighted by an AFCON title and 2-1 friendly victory over Paraguay. Scotland (4%) earned direct qualification by topping UEFA Group C but faltered in March friendlies, losing 0-1 each to Japan and Côte d'Ivoire, while Haiti (0.4%) lags as the No. 83-ranked debutants since 1974.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoBrasil 77%
Marrocos 20%
Escócia 4.0%
Haiti <1%
$69,340 Vol.
$69,340 Vol.
Brasil
77%
Marrocos
20%
Escócia
4%
Haiti
<1%
Brasil 77%
Marrocos 20%
Escócia 4.0%
Haiti <1%
$69,340 Vol.
$69,340 Vol.
Brasil
77%
Marrocos
20%
Escócia
4%
Haiti
<1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brazil's five-time World Cup champion pedigree and deep talent pool, including Endrick's recent international emergence under Carlo Ancelotti, drive their 76.5% implied probability as Group C favorites, despite mixed March friendlies—a 1-2 loss to France and 3-1 win over Croatia—and Ancelotti labeling the draw "difficult." Morocco's 19.5% trader consensus stems from their 2022 semifinal heroics, No. 8 FIFA ranking, top CAF qualifying finish, and strong recent form highlighted by an AFCON title and 2-1 friendly victory over Paraguay. Scotland (4%) earned direct qualification by topping UEFA Group C but faltered in March friendlies, losing 0-1 each to Japan and Côte d'Ivoire, while Haiti (0.4%) lags as the No. 83-ranked debutants since 1974.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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