Trader consensus slightly favors Japan at 43.5% implied probability for this World Cup warm-up international friendly at Hampden Park, reflecting their higher FIFA ranking (19th vs. Scotland's 38th) and unbeaten head-to-head record—two 0-0 draws in 1995 and 2006, plus a 2-0 win in 2009—despite a lengthy injury list headlined by Takehiro Tomiyasu, Wataru Endo, Takefusa Kubo, Kaoru Mitoma, and Takumi Minamino, with Ryunosuke Sato also missing recent training. Scotland, fresh off topping their qualifying group, contends without Aaron Hickey and Lawrence Shankland, as Steve Clarke experiments with rotations, benching Rangers and Celtic starters to integrate youth and players returning from injury like Scott McTominay. Elevated draw odds at 28.5% underscore historical stalemates and friendly unpredictability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

If Scotland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 1, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Scotland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 1, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Japan at 43.5% implied probability for this World Cup warm-up international friendly at Hampden Park, reflecting their higher FIFA ranking (19th vs. Scotland's 38th) and unbeaten head-to-head record—two 0-0 draws in 1995 and 2006, plus a 2-0 win in 2009—despite a lengthy injury list headlined by Takehiro Tomiyasu, Wataru Endo, Takefusa Kubo, Kaoru Mitoma, and Takumi Minamino, with Ryunosuke Sato also missing recent training. Scotland, fresh off topping their qualifying group, contends without Aaron Hickey and Lawrence Shankland, as Steve Clarke experiments with rotations, benching Rangers and Celtic starters to integrate youth and players returning from injury like Scott McTominay. Elevated draw odds at 28.5% underscore historical stalemates and friendly unpredictability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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