France's 57.5% implied probability reflects trader consensus on their squad depth and momentum from a 2-1 friendly win over Brazil two days ago, where Kylian Mbappé shook off a recent knee injury to score, despite heavy rotation expected for this neutral-venue international friendly at Northwest Stadium. Colombia's 18.5% underdog pricing stems from their 2-1 loss to Croatia midweek, ending an unbeaten streak, plus key absences like defender Yerry Mina sidelined by injuries, leaving Luis Díaz as their primary threat. The 23.5% draw odds account for both teams' short turnaround, experimental lineups—featuring France's N'Golo Kanté, Eduardo Camavinga, and Marcus Thuram—and low-stakes World Cup prep context.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

If Colombia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 2, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Colombia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 2, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...France's 57.5% implied probability reflects trader consensus on their squad depth and momentum from a 2-1 friendly win over Brazil two days ago, where Kylian Mbappé shook off a recent knee injury to score, despite heavy rotation expected for this neutral-venue international friendly at Northwest Stadium. Colombia's 18.5% underdog pricing stems from their 2-1 loss to Croatia midweek, ending an unbeaten streak, plus key absences like defender Yerry Mina sidelined by injuries, leaving Luis Díaz as their primary threat. The 23.5% draw odds account for both teams' short turnaround, experimental lineups—featuring France's N'Golo Kanté, Eduardo Camavinga, and Marcus Thuram—and low-stakes World Cup prep context.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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