Mercedes' commanding 78.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship stems from their historical power unit dominance and advanced chassis development, positioning them ideally for 2026's revolutionary active aerodynamics, sustainable fuels, and lighter chassis regs. Ferrari trails at 13.5% despite landing Lewis Hamilton alongside Charles Leclerc, as traders weigh integration risks against Mercedes' reliability with George Russell and rookie Kimi Antonelli. McLaren's 3.2% reflects their 2024 title momentum with Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, but doubts linger on adapting to new powertrains amid Red Bull's 2.1% slide from key departures like Adrian Newey and engine transition uncertainties. Longshots like Audi and Cadillac face steep ramps as 2026 newcomers lacking proven F1 infrastructure.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMercedes 79%
Ferrari 14%
McLaren 3.2%
Red Bull Racing 2.1%
$6,128,880 Vol.
$6,128,880 Vol.

Mercedes
79%

Ferrari
14%

McLaren
3%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Williams
1%

Audi
1%

Cadillac
1%

Alpine
1%

Racing Bulls
<1%

Haas
<1%

Aston Martin
<1%
Mercedes 79%
Ferrari 14%
McLaren 3.2%
Red Bull Racing 2.1%
$6,128,880 Vol.
$6,128,880 Vol.

Mercedes
79%

Ferrari
14%

McLaren
3%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Williams
1%

Audi
1%

Cadillac
1%

Alpine
1%

Racing Bulls
<1%

Haas
<1%

Aston Martin
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' commanding 78.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship stems from their historical power unit dominance and advanced chassis development, positioning them ideally for 2026's revolutionary active aerodynamics, sustainable fuels, and lighter chassis regs. Ferrari trails at 13.5% despite landing Lewis Hamilton alongside Charles Leclerc, as traders weigh integration risks against Mercedes' reliability with George Russell and rookie Kimi Antonelli. McLaren's 3.2% reflects their 2024 title momentum with Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, but doubts linger on adapting to new powertrains amid Red Bull's 2.1% slide from key departures like Adrian Newey and engine transition uncertainties. Longshots like Audi and Cadillac face steep ramps as 2026 newcomers lacking proven F1 infrastructure.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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