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Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8?

Market icon

Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8?

$5,458 Vol.

Feb 8, 2022
Polymarket

$5,458 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

USA or European Union?

$1,851 Vol.

European Union

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United Kingdom or Germany?

$1,272 Vol.

Germany

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Italy or Spain?

$398 Vol.

Italy

Market icon

Denmark or France?

$1,937 Vol.

Denmark

This is a market on whether the United States of America or the European Union will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8 2022. This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for the USA and the EU with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", and the Relative to Population checkbox checked, which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer. This market will resolve to one of the aforementioned which, by the resolution source, has reported the highest 7-day case average per capita for February 8. The resolution source will be reviewed on February 10 2022 at 8 PM ET and - if the data for February 8 is not be available then - will be checked every 24 hours for a week. If the data is not available by then, the most recent available data will be used. -------------------- OWiD dataset uses the most recent official numbers from governments and health ministries worldwide. Population estimates for per-capita metrics are based on the United Nations World Population Prospects. Here: https://github.com/owid/covid-19-data/tree/master/public/data one can find a detailed list of all our country-specific sources. Please note, if the highest averages per capita are the same for more than one country, the winning outcome shares will be valued adequately.This is a market on whether the United Kingdom or Germany will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8 2022. This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for these countries with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", and the Relative to Population checkbox checked, which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer. This market will resolve to one of the aforementioned countries which, by the resolution source, has reported the highest 7-day case average per capita for February 8. The resolution source will be reviewed on February 10 2022 at 8 PM ET and - if the data for February 8 is not be available then - will be checked every 24 hours for a week. If the data is not available by then, the most recent available data will be used. -------------------- OWiD dataset uses the most recent official numbers from governments and health ministries worldwide. Population estimates for per-capita metrics are based on the United Nations World Population Prospects. Here: https://github.com/owid/covid-19-data/tree/master/public/data one can find a detailed list of all our country-specific sources. Please note, if the highest averages per capita are the same for more than one country, the winning outcome shares will be valued adequately.This is a market on whether Italy or Spain will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8 2022. This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for these countries with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", and the Relative to Population checkbox checked, which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer. This market will resolve to one of the aforementioned countries which, by the resolution source, has reported the highest 7-day case average per capita for February 8. The resolution source will be reviewed on February 10 2022 at 8 PM ET and - if the data for February 8 is not be available then - will be checked every 24 hours for a week. If the data is not available by then, the most recent available data will be used. -------------------- OWiD dataset uses the most recent official numbers from governments and health ministries worldwide. Population estimates for per-capita metrics are based on the United Nations World Population Prospects. Here: https://github.com/owid/covid-19-data/tree/master/public/data one can find a detailed list of all our country-specific sources. Please note, if the highest averages per capita are the same for more than one country, the winning outcome shares will be valued adequately.This is a market on whether Denmark or France will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8 2022. This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for these countries with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", and the Relative to Population checkbox checked, which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer. This market will resolve to one of the aforementioned countries which, by the resolution source, has reported the highest 7-day case average per capita for February 8. The resolution source will be reviewed on February 10 2022 at 8 PM ET and - if the data for February 8 is not be available then - will be checked every 24 hours for a week. If the data is not available by then, the most recent available data will be used. -------------------- OWiD dataset uses the most recent official numbers from governments and health ministries worldwide. Population estimates for per-capita metrics are based on the United Nations World Population Prospects. Here: https://github.com/owid/covid-19-data/tree/master/public/data one can find a detailed list of all our country-specific sources. Please note, if the highest averages per capita are the same for more than one country, the winning outcome shares will be valued adequately.

This is a market on whether the United States of America or the European Union will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8 2022. This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for the USA and the EU with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", and the Relative to Population checkbox checked, which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer. This market will resolve to one of the aforementioned which, by the resolution source, has reported the highest 7-day case average per capita for February 8. The resolution source will be reviewed on February 10 2022 at 8 PM ET and - if the data for February 8 is not be available then - will be checked every 24 hours for a week. If the data is not available by then, the most recent available data will be used. -------------------- OWiD dataset uses the most recent official numbers from governments and health ministries worldwide. Population estimates for per-capita metrics are based on the United Nations World Population Prospects. Here: https://github.com/owid/covid-19-data/tree/master/public/data one can find a detailed list of all our country-specific sources. Please note, if the highest averages per capita are the same for more than one country, the winning outcome shares will be valued adequately.This is a market on whether the United Kingdom or Germany will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8 2022. This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for these countries with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", and the Relative to Population checkbox checked, which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer. This market will resolve to one of the aforementioned countries which, by the resolution source, has reported the highest 7-day case average per capita for February 8. The resolution source will be reviewed on February 10 2022 at 8 PM ET and - if the data for February 8 is not be available then - will be checked every 24 hours for a week. If the data is not available by then, the most recent available data will be used. -------------------- OWiD dataset uses the most recent official numbers from governments and health ministries worldwide. Population estimates for per-capita metrics are based on the United Nations World Population Prospects. Here: https://github.com/owid/covid-19-data/tree/master/public/data one can find a detailed list of all our country-specific sources. Please note, if the highest averages per capita are the same for more than one country, the winning outcome shares will be valued adequately.This is a market on whether Italy or Spain will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8 2022. This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for these countries with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", and the Relative to Population checkbox checked, which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer. This market will resolve to one of the aforementioned countries which, by the resolution source, has reported the highest 7-day case average per capita for February 8. The resolution source will be reviewed on February 10 2022 at 8 PM ET and - if the data for February 8 is not be available then - will be checked every 24 hours for a week. If the data is not available by then, the most recent available data will be used. -------------------- OWiD dataset uses the most recent official numbers from governments and health ministries worldwide. Population estimates for per-capita metrics are based on the United Nations World Population Prospects. Here: https://github.com/owid/covid-19-data/tree/master/public/data one can find a detailed list of all our country-specific sources. Please note, if the highest averages per capita are the same for more than one country, the winning outcome shares will be valued adequately.This is a market on whether Denmark or France will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8 2022. This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for these countries with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", and the Relative to Population checkbox checked, which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer. This market will resolve to one of the aforementioned countries which, by the resolution source, has reported the highest 7-day case average per capita for February 8. The resolution source will be reviewed on February 10 2022 at 8 PM ET and - if the data for February 8 is not be available then - will be checked every 24 hours for a week. If the data is not available by then, the most recent available data will be used. -------------------- OWiD dataset uses the most recent official numbers from governments and health ministries worldwide. Population estimates for per-capita metrics are based on the United Nations World Population Prospects. Here: https://github.com/owid/covid-19-data/tree/master/public/data one can find a detailed list of all our country-specific sources. Please note, if the highest averages per capita are the same for more than one country, the winning outcome shares will be valued adequately.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Italy or Spain?" at 100%, followed by "Denmark or France?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 21, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8?" is "Italy or Spain?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Denmark or France?" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.