Geopolitical tensions centered on U.S.-Iran negotiations and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to anchor trader sentiment for June WTI crude oil (CL) settlement, with the >$84 bin commanding a 68.5% implied probability. Recent progress toward a diplomatic framework has tempered prices from recent peaks above $100 per barrel to the mid-$96 range, yet persistent uncertainty over supply flows sustains elevated levels and limits downside bets. Market-implied odds reflect these dynamics, as disrupted Middle East output and inventory draws support prices well above historical seasonal averages, while any acceleration in talks could introduce volatility. Traders are monitoring upcoming inventory reports and diplomatic signals ahead of the June contract expiration.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual será o preço do Petróleo Bruto (CL) em junho?
>US$84 69%
$77-$84 17%
$70-$77 5.8%
$63-$70 1.0%
$194,142 Vol.
$194,142 Vol.
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
1%
$70-$77
6%
$77-$84
17%
>US$84
69%
>US$84 69%
$77-$84 17%
$70-$77 5.8%
$63-$70 1.0%
$194,142 Vol.
$194,142 Vol.
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
1%
$70-$77
6%
$77-$84
17%
>US$84
69%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Geopolitical tensions centered on U.S.-Iran negotiations and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to anchor trader sentiment for June WTI crude oil (CL) settlement, with the >$84 bin commanding a 68.5% implied probability. Recent progress toward a diplomatic framework has tempered prices from recent peaks above $100 per barrel to the mid-$96 range, yet persistent uncertainty over supply flows sustains elevated levels and limits downside bets. Market-implied odds reflect these dynamics, as disrupted Middle East output and inventory draws support prices well above historical seasonal averages, while any acceleration in talks could introduce volatility. Traders are monitoring upcoming inventory reports and diplomatic signals ahead of the June contract expiration.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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