Trader consensus favors 1. FC Union Berlin at 45.5% implied probability for victory over FC St. Pauli, driven by home advantage at An der Alten Försterei, a superior head-to-head record including a 1-0 win in the reverse fixture last November, and mid-table security at 9th place with 31 points after 27 games. St. Pauli's 24.5% underdog odds reflect their relegation scrap in 15th (25 points), hampered by key absences like James Sands (season-ending ankle), Karol Mets, and Manolis Saliakas (hamstring), alongside poor away form. Recent results show both struggling—Union's 0-4 loss to Bayern Munich and St. Pauli's 1-2 defeat to Freiburg last weekend—elevating draw pricing to 29.5% in this closely contested Bundesliga matchup.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 1. FC Union Berlin at 45.5% implied probability for victory over FC St. Pauli, driven by home advantage at An der Alten Försterei, a superior head-to-head record including a 1-0 win in the reverse fixture last November, and mid-table security at 9th place with 31 points after 27 games. St. Pauli's 24.5% underdog odds reflect their relegation scrap in 15th (25 points), hampered by key absences like James Sands (season-ending ankle), Karol Mets, and Manolis Saliakas (hamstring), alongside poor away form. Recent results show both struggling—Union's 0-4 loss to Bayern Munich and St. Pauli's 1-2 defeat to Freiburg last weekend—elevating draw pricing to 29.5% in this closely contested Bundesliga matchup.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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