Union Berlin holds a slim 42.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite hosting relegation-battling St. Pauli (26.5%) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei in Bundesliga round 28, with draw at 30.5% reflecting both sides' inconsistent form. St. Pauli's dismal away record—six losses in their last seven road matches—combined with key absences like defender Eric Smith (calf injury), midfielder James Sands (ankle), and others including Simon Spari and Lars Ritzka, has eroded their spine, amplifying Union's edge after a 1-0 head-to-head win earlier this season. Union's mid-table position (12th, 31 points) benefits from home strength, though recent struggles (four losses in six) and injuries to goalkeeper Matheo Raab and winger David Preu keep the matchup closely contested.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Union Berlin holds a slim 42.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite hosting relegation-battling St. Pauli (26.5%) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei in Bundesliga round 28, with draw at 30.5% reflecting both sides' inconsistent form. St. Pauli's dismal away record—six losses in their last seven road matches—combined with key absences like defender Eric Smith (calf injury), midfielder James Sands (ankle), and others including Simon Spari and Lars Ritzka, has eroded their spine, amplifying Union's edge after a 1-0 head-to-head win earlier this season. Union's mid-table position (12th, 31 points) benefits from home strength, though recent struggles (four losses in six) and injuries to goalkeeper Matheo Raab and winger David Preu keep the matchup closely contested.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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