Market icon

Israel lançará uma grande ofensiva terrestre no Líbano até 31 de janeiro?

Sim

5% chance

$75,745 Vol.

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$75,745
Data de término
Jan 31, 2026
Criado em
Jan 7, 2026, 5:23 PM ET

Cuidado com links externos.

Market icon

Israel lançará uma grande ofensiva terrestre no Líbano até 31 de janeiro?

Sim

5% chance

$75,745 Vol.

Sobre

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$75,745
Data de término
Jan 31, 2026
Criado em
Jan 7, 2026, 5:23 PM ET

Cuidado com links externos.