Carlos Alcaraz leads trader consensus at 42% implied probability as world No. 1 and reigning Australian Open champion, bolstering his status as French Open title defender with proven clay prowess from prior Roland Garros triumphs and a recent Doha title win over Arthur Fils. Jannik Sinner trails closely at 33.5%, reflecting his scorching hard-court form via back-to-back Masters 1000 victories at Indian Wells (over Daniil Medvedev) and Miami (straight sets over Jiri Lehecka without dropping a set), signaling momentum into the clay swing despite limited recent red dirt success. Alexander Zverev (3.6%) and Novak Djokovic (3.5%) lag amid Zverev's steady but unspectacular results and Djokovic's early exits, including losses to Jack Draper at Indian Wells and Alejandro Tabilo recently, as the ATP clay season kicks off in Houston with Monte Carlo looming.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCarlos Alcaraz 42%
Jannik Sinner 34%
Alexander Zverev 3.7%
Novak Djokovic 3.5%
$1,767,608 Vol.
$1,767,608 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
42%
Jannik Sinner
34%
Alexander Zverev
4%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Arthur Fils
2%
Casper Ruud
2%
Joao Fonseca
2%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Alex De Minaur
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Learner Tien
1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Tomas Machac
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Marin Cilic
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz 42%
Jannik Sinner 34%
Alexander Zverev 3.7%
Novak Djokovic 3.5%
$1,767,608 Vol.
$1,767,608 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
42%
Jannik Sinner
34%
Alexander Zverev
4%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Arthur Fils
2%
Casper Ruud
2%
Joao Fonseca
2%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Alex De Minaur
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Learner Tien
1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Tomas Machac
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Marin Cilic
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz leads trader consensus at 42% implied probability as world No. 1 and reigning Australian Open champion, bolstering his status as French Open title defender with proven clay prowess from prior Roland Garros triumphs and a recent Doha title win over Arthur Fils. Jannik Sinner trails closely at 33.5%, reflecting his scorching hard-court form via back-to-back Masters 1000 victories at Indian Wells (over Daniil Medvedev) and Miami (straight sets over Jiri Lehecka without dropping a set), signaling momentum into the clay swing despite limited recent red dirt success. Alexander Zverev (3.6%) and Novak Djokovic (3.5%) lag amid Zverev's steady but unspectacular results and Djokovic's early exits, including losses to Jack Draper at Indian Wells and Alejandro Tabilo recently, as the ATP clay season kicks off in Houston with Monte Carlo looming.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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