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Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Market icon

Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Espanha 15.9%

França 13.3%

Inglaterra 11.8%

Argentina 9.2%

Polymarket

$478,337,148 Vol.

Espanha 15.9%

França 13.3%

Inglaterra 11.8%

Argentina 9.2%

Polymarket

$478,337,148 Vol.

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Espanha

$7,336,602 Vol.

16%

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França

$5,946,628 Vol.

13%

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Inglaterra

$7,648,446 Vol.

12%

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Argentina

$7,824,895 Vol.

9%

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Brasil

$7,671,286 Vol.

9%

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Portugal

$8,852,520 Vol.

7%

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Alemanha

$7,224,846 Vol.

5%

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Holanda

$9,576,501 Vol.

3%

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Noruega

$7,789,622 Vol.

3%

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Bélgica

$8,216,973 Vol.

2%

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Japão

$9,642,587 Vol.

2%

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Colômbia

$7,550,941 Vol.

2%

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EUA

$4,823,908 Vol.

2%

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Marrocos

$9,692,507 Vol.

2%

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Uruguai

$8,363,428 Vol.

1%

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México

$7,181,566 Vol.

1%

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Croácia

$8,079,981 Vol.

1%

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Suíça

$9,067,179 Vol.

1%

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Equador

$9,263,804 Vol.

1%

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Turquia

$949,078 Vol.

1%

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Senegal

$8,925,789 Vol.

1%

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Suécia

$711,269 Vol.

1%

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Canadá

$12,013,360 Vol.

1%

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Áustria

$10,796,873 Vol.

1%

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Coreia do Sul

$13,966,928 Vol.

<1%

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Bósnia-Herzegovina

$788,208 Vol.

<1%

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Paraguai

$12,151,031 Vol.

<1%

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Escócia

$12,510,102 Vol.

<1%

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Costa do Marfim

$9,631,247 Vol.

<1%

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Egito

$11,294,184 Vol.

<1%

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Gana

$10,825,920 Vol.

<1%

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Argélia

$11,438,933 Vol.

<1%

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Tunísia

$11,731,930 Vol.

<1%

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Tchéquia

$217,606 Vol.

<1%

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Austrália

$8,522,747 Vol.

<1%

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Arábia Saudita

$17,992,804 Vol.

<1%

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Nova Zelândia

$17,762,524 Vol.

<1%

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Haiti

$12,934,629 Vol.

<1%

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Jordânia

$16,954,253 Vol.

<1%

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Irã

$11,981,101 Vol.

<1%

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Uzbequistão

$28,170,072 Vol.

<1%

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Panamá

$1,641,615 Vol.

<1%

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Iraque

$2,291,522 Vol.

<1%

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África do Sul

$19,962,784 Vol.

<1%

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RD Congo

$1,980,144 Vol.

<1%

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Cabo Verde

$10,907,525 Vol.

<1%

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Catar

$13,864,226 Vol.

<1%

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Curaçao

$24,739,222 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 16% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup following the March 31 playoffs that finalized the 48-team field, propelled by their Euro 2024 title, perfect UEFA Group E qualifying record, and current world No. 1 ranking with emerging stars like Lamine Yamal driving momentum. France (13.3%) and England (11.8%) remain tightly bunched behind, buoyed by France's recent 2-1 friendly win over Brazil and both nations' direct qualification via dominant European campaigns, showcasing deep talent pools in Mbappé, Kane, and Bellingham. Argentina (9.2%) and Brazil (8.6%) complete the top five amid defending champion pedigree but face scrutiny over aging cores and inconsistent CONMEBOL form, highlighting the razor-thin margins among UEFA and CONMEBOL powerhouses in the expanded tournament's group stage draw.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$478,337,148
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 16% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup following the March 31 playoffs that finalized the 48-team field, propelled by their Euro 2024 title, perfect UEFA Group E qualifying record, and current world No. 1 ranking with emerging stars like Lamine Yamal driving momentum. France (13.3%) and England (11.8%) remain tightly bunched behind, buoyed by France's recent 2-1 friendly win over Brazil and both nations' direct qualification via dominant European campaigns, showcasing deep talent pools in Mbappé, Kane, and Bellingham. Argentina (9.2%) and Brazil (8.6%) complete the top five amid defending champion pedigree but face scrutiny over aging cores and inconsistent CONMEBOL form, highlighting the razor-thin margins among UEFA and CONMEBOL powerhouses in the expanded tournament's group stage draw.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$478,337,148
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Espanha" at 16%, followed by "França" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " has generated $478.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is "Espanha" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.