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Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Market icon

Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Espanha 16.0%

Inglaterra 12.7%

França 11.9%

Argentina 9.7%

Polymarket

$440,012,092 Vol.

Espanha 16.0%

Inglaterra 12.7%

França 11.9%

Argentina 9.7%

Polymarket

$440,012,092 Vol.

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Espanha

$6,093,817 Vol.

16%

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Inglaterra

$6,756,341 Vol.

13%

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França

$4,762,637 Vol.

12%

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Argentina

$7,001,345 Vol.

10%

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Brasil

$6,534,652 Vol.

9%

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Portugal

$8,155,990 Vol.

7%

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Alemanha

$6,820,000 Vol.

5%

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Holanda

$9,158,633 Vol.

3%

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Noruega

$7,461,827 Vol.

3%

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Itália

$8,007,439 Vol.

3%

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Bélgica

$7,500,136 Vol.

2%

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Colômbia

$7,102,572 Vol.

2%

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EUA

$4,671,261 Vol.

2%

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Marrocos

$8,921,610 Vol.

2%

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Japão

$8,619,682 Vol.

1%

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Uruguai

$7,421,932 Vol.

1%

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Croácia

$7,905,837 Vol.

1%

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México

$6,725,931 Vol.

1%

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Suíça

$8,336,930 Vol.

1%

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Equador

$8,835,799 Vol.

1%

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Senegal

$8,209,602 Vol.

1%

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Canadá

$11,558,974 Vol.

1%

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Áustria

$10,190,840 Vol.

1%

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Coreia do Sul

$13,360,520 Vol.

<1%

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Paraguai

$11,652,404 Vol.

<1%

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Costa do Marfim

$9,014,525 Vol.

<1%

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Gana

$10,198,893 Vol.

<1%

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Argélia

$10,990,666 Vol.

<1%

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Escócia

$11,065,833 Vol.

<1%

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Tunísia

$11,122,445 Vol.

<1%

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Austrália

$8,142,295 Vol.

<1%

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Arábia Saudita

$17,551,516 Vol.

<1%

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Egito

$10,447,241 Vol.

<1%

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Haiti

$12,469,435 Vol.

<1%

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Jordânia

$16,516,663 Vol.

<1%

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Irã

$11,468,609 Vol.

<1%

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África do Sul

$19,467,561 Vol.

<1%

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Cabo Verde

$10,488,750 Vol.

<1%

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Catar

$11,488,251 Vol.

<1%

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Nova Zelândia

$16,693,658 Vol.

<1%

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Curaçao

$23,613,313 Vol.

<1%

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Uzbequistão

$27,308,742 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads trader consensus at 16% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, midfield dominance via Rodri and Pedri, and a favorable group draw avoiding early clashes with top rivals like Argentina and France until knockout stages. France (11.9%) surged closer after emphatic friendly victories over Brazil (2-1) and Colombia last week, showcasing squad depth and attacking flair from Mbappé amid qualifiers' conclusion. England (12.7%) and defending champions Argentina (9.7%) remain tightly bunched due to consistent qualifying campaigns, home-soil advantages for hosts, and balanced paths, underscoring a hyper-competitive field with no dominant favorite as playoffs wrap today.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$440,012,092
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads trader consensus at 16% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, midfield dominance via Rodri and Pedri, and a favorable group draw avoiding early clashes with top rivals like Argentina and France until knockout stages. France (11.9%) surged closer after emphatic friendly victories over Brazil (2-1) and Colombia last week, showcasing squad depth and attacking flair from Mbappé amid qualifiers' conclusion. England (12.7%) and defending champions Argentina (9.7%) remain tightly bunched due to consistent qualifying campaigns, home-soil advantages for hosts, and balanced paths, underscoring a hyper-competitive field with no dominant favorite as playoffs wrap today.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$440,012,092
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Espanha" at 16%, followed by "Inglaterra" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " has generated $440 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 ," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is "Espanha" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Inglaterra" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.