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Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

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Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Espanha 15.9%

França 13.1%

Inglaterra 11.8%

Argentina 9.2%

Polymarket

$480,886,861 Vol.

Espanha 15.9%

França 13.1%

Inglaterra 11.8%

Argentina 9.2%

Polymarket

$480,886,861 Vol.

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Espanha

$7,720,197 Vol.

16%

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França

$6,173,465 Vol.

13%

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Inglaterra

$7,657,595 Vol.

12%

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Argentina

$7,870,572 Vol.

9%

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Brasil

$7,828,811 Vol.

9%

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Portugal

$8,864,923 Vol.

7%

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Alemanha

$7,235,581 Vol.

5%

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Holanda

$9,582,615 Vol.

3%

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Noruega

$7,797,300 Vol.

3%

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Bélgica

$8,224,667 Vol.

2%

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Japão

$9,653,947 Vol.

2%

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Colômbia

$7,556,113 Vol.

2%

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EUA

$4,826,552 Vol.

2%

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Marrocos

$9,716,667 Vol.

2%

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Uruguai

$8,389,294 Vol.

1%

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México

$7,235,887 Vol.

1%

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Croácia

$8,122,027 Vol.

1%

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Suíça

$9,070,459 Vol.

1%

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Equador

$9,305,490 Vol.

1%

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Turquia

$964,815 Vol.

1%

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Senegal

$8,950,473 Vol.

1%

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Suécia

$718,994 Vol.

1%

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Canadá

$12,037,254 Vol.

1%

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Áustria

$10,832,271 Vol.

1%

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Coreia do Sul

$14,025,517 Vol.

<1%

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Bósnia-Herzegovina

$801,445 Vol.

<1%

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Paraguai

$12,336,345 Vol.

<1%

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Escócia

$12,559,338 Vol.

<1%

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Costa do Marfim

$9,689,094 Vol.

<1%

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Egito

$11,370,671 Vol.

<1%

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Gana

$10,905,467 Vol.

<1%

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Argélia

$11,499,680 Vol.

<1%

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Tunísia

$11,781,472 Vol.

<1%

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Tchéquia

$235,111 Vol.

<1%

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Austrália

$8,580,169 Vol.

<1%

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Arábia Saudita

$18,085,976 Vol.

<1%

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Nova Zelândia

$17,822,768 Vol.

<1%

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Haiti

$12,976,244 Vol.

<1%

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Jordânia

$17,002,483 Vol.

<1%

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Irã

$12,019,642 Vol.

<1%

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Uzbequistão

$28,183,112 Vol.

<1%

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Panamá

$1,651,055 Vol.

<1%

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Iraque

$2,306,353 Vol.

<1%

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África do Sul

$20,028,512 Vol.

<1%

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RD Congo

$2,011,148 Vol.

<1%

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Cabo Verde

$10,966,776 Vol.

<1%

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Catar

$13,959,491 Vol.

<1%

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Curaçao

$24,839,697 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 16% implied probability, bolstered by their Euro 2024 triumph and flawless qualifiers capped by recent Nations League successes, showcasing youthful stars like Lamine Yamal thriving in attack. France (13%) trails closely after reclaiming the FIFA top ranking with dominant March friendlies and playoff wins, leveraging Kylian Mbappé's form amid an in-form squad. England (12%), Argentina (9%), and Brazil (9%) keep the race tight through deep talent pools, defending champion pedigree, and historical pedigree, though Brazil absorbs a blow from Rodrygo's recent ACL tear ruling him out. The bunched top probabilities reflect parity among European heavyweights, the expanded 48-team format inviting group stage upsets post the April 1 draw, and two months of club-season volatility ahead of the USA-Canada-Mexico-hosted tournament.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$480,886,861
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 16% implied probability, bolstered by their Euro 2024 triumph and flawless qualifiers capped by recent Nations League successes, showcasing youthful stars like Lamine Yamal thriving in attack. France (13%) trails closely after reclaiming the FIFA top ranking with dominant March friendlies and playoff wins, leveraging Kylian Mbappé's form amid an in-form squad. England (12%), Argentina (9%), and Brazil (9%) keep the race tight through deep talent pools, defending champion pedigree, and historical pedigree, though Brazil absorbs a blow from Rodrygo's recent ACL tear ruling him out. The bunched top probabilities reflect parity among European heavyweights, the expanded 48-team format inviting group stage upsets post the April 1 draw, and two months of club-season volatility ahead of the USA-Canada-Mexico-hosted tournament.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$480,886,861
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Espanha" at 16%, followed by "França" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " has generated $480.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is "Espanha" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.