Trader consensus heavily favors George Russell at 56.5% implied probability for the 2025 F1 Drivers' Championship, driven by Mercedes' solidified lineup announcement pairing him with highly rated rookie Kimi Antonelli (16.8%), whose impressive FP1 debut in Abu Dhabi and post-season testing validated his rapid promotion from F2. Russell's consistent podiums late in 2024, including P2 in Las Vegas, underscore Mercedes' upward trajectory amid rivals' uncertainties. Charles Leclerc (7.2%) and Lewis Hamilton (6.8%) reflect Ferrari's pace but face integration risks in their new partnership. Max Verstappen's drop to 4.5% stems from Red Bull's constructors' deficit, Perez's axing, and unresolved seat drama, sidelining Lando Norris (1.9%) and Oscar Piastri (1.1%) despite McLaren's title push.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoGeorge Russell 56%
Kimi Antonelli 16.8%
Charles Leclerc 7.2%
Lewis Hamilton 6.6%
$57,579,295 Vol.
$57,579,295 Vol.
George Russell
56%
Kimi Antonelli
17%
Charles Leclerc
7%
Lewis Hamilton
7%
Max Verstappen
5%
Lando Norris
2%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
George Russell 56%
Kimi Antonelli 16.8%
Charles Leclerc 7.2%
Lewis Hamilton 6.6%
$57,579,295 Vol.
$57,579,295 Vol.
George Russell
56%
Kimi Antonelli
17%
Charles Leclerc
7%
Lewis Hamilton
7%
Max Verstappen
5%
Lando Norris
2%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors George Russell at 56.5% implied probability for the 2025 F1 Drivers' Championship, driven by Mercedes' solidified lineup announcement pairing him with highly rated rookie Kimi Antonelli (16.8%), whose impressive FP1 debut in Abu Dhabi and post-season testing validated his rapid promotion from F2. Russell's consistent podiums late in 2024, including P2 in Las Vegas, underscore Mercedes' upward trajectory amid rivals' uncertainties. Charles Leclerc (7.2%) and Lewis Hamilton (6.8%) reflect Ferrari's pace but face integration risks in their new partnership. Max Verstappen's drop to 4.5% stems from Red Bull's constructors' deficit, Perez's axing, and unresolved seat drama, sidelining Lando Norris (1.9%) and Oscar Piastri (1.1%) despite McLaren's title push.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions