Quarterfinal matchups in the 2025-26 FA Cup have fueled a tightly contested trader consensus, with Arsenal's 33.5% implied probability atop the market after grinding past Mansfield Town 2-1 in the fifth round while leading the Premier League table. Manchester City (26.5%) host rivals Liverpool (13%) in a blockbuster clash that risks eliminating a title contender, mirroring their tight Premier League race where Arsenal hold a slim edge after 31 matches. Chelsea (18%) face League One shock survivors Port Vale at Stamford Bridge, but cup upsets loom large; West Ham United (6.5%) and Championship side Leeds United (5.1%) add intrigue in their all-outsider tie. Knockout volatility and no easy paths keep the race wide open ahead of April 4-5 fixtures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoArsenal 34%
Manchester City 27%
Chelsea 18%
Liverpool 13%
$367,422 Vol.
$367,422 Vol.
Arsenal
34%
Manchester City
27%
Chelsea
18%
Liverpool
13%
West Ham United
6%
Leeds United AFC
5%
Southampton
2%
Port Vale
1%
Arsenal 34%
Manchester City 27%
Chelsea 18%
Liverpool 13%
$367,422 Vol.
$367,422 Vol.
Arsenal
34%
Manchester City
27%
Chelsea
18%
Liverpool
13%
West Ham United
6%
Leeds United AFC
5%
Southampton
2%
Port Vale
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 22, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Quarterfinal matchups in the 2025-26 FA Cup have fueled a tightly contested trader consensus, with Arsenal's 33.5% implied probability atop the market after grinding past Mansfield Town 2-1 in the fifth round while leading the Premier League table. Manchester City (26.5%) host rivals Liverpool (13%) in a blockbuster clash that risks eliminating a title contender, mirroring their tight Premier League race where Arsenal hold a slim edge after 31 matches. Chelsea (18%) face League One shock survivors Port Vale at Stamford Bridge, but cup upsets loom large; West Ham United (6.5%) and Championship side Leeds United (5.1%) add intrigue in their all-outsider tie. Knockout volatility and no easy paths keep the race wide open ahead of April 4-5 fixtures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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