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Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 50¢
40,000.0 quotas50¢
75.8¢
$30,336.00$10,336.00 (51.68%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 50¢
40,000.0 quotas$30,336.00$10,336.00 (51.68%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 50¢
40,000.0 quotas50¢
24.2¢
$9,660.00-$10,340.00 (-51.7%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 50¢
40,000.0 quotas$9,660.00-$10,340.00 (-51.7%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 90.7¢
8,275.9 quotas90.7¢
98.3¢
$8,135.21$627.73 (8.36%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 90.7¢
8,275.9 quotas$8,135.21$627.73 (8.36%)
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
No 90¢
1,000.0 quotas$979.50$79.50 (8.83%)
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Yes 70¢
793.1 quotas$503.64-$51.55 (-9.29%)
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Yes 80.2¢
510.0 quotas$441.19$32.37 (7.92%)
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
No 79.8¢
458.0 quotas$428.22$62.92 (17.22%)
Eric Adams charged by December 31?
No 64¢
491.0 quotas$346.15$31.91 (10.16%)
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
No 90¢
191.5 quotas$167.52-$4.79 (-2.78%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 10.5¢
8,094.1 quotas10.5¢
0.7¢
$52.61-$800.13 (-93.83%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 10.5¢
8,094.1 quotas$52.61-$800.13 (-93.83%)
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Yes 92¢
50.0 quotas$47.50$1.50 (3.26%)
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
No 32.9¢
28.8 quotas$25.20$15.72 (165.96%)
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes 13¢
1,000.0 quotas13¢
0.4¢
$4.00-$126.00 (-96.92%)
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes 13¢
1,000.0 quotas$4.00-$126.00 (-96.92%)