Skip to main content

Tipping Point predictions & odds

·
What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

3%

Nuclear

$14M Vol.

$3M today

$318K Liq.

2,280

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

7%

$9M Vol.

$197K Liq.

707

Ends in 8 months

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

89%

$228K Vol.

$50.6K Liq.

30

Ends in 8 months

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

1%

$3M Vol.

$47.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

6%

$427K Vol.

$66.7K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

2%

$86.1K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

17

Ends in 8 months

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

8%

Dong Jun

$157K Vol.

$101K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

<1%

$52.4K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

53%

Mark Rutte

$848K Vol.

$122K today

$96.2K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

10%

Donald Trump

$18M Vol.

$121K today

$2M Liq.

175

Ends in 5 months

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

44%

Starmer - UK PM

$358K Vol.

$240K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump meet with in May?

Who will Trump meet with in May?

6%

Giorgia Meloni

$390K Vol.

$74.6K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

97%

SpaceX

$6M Vol.

$117K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

73%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$104K Vol.

$61.6K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

86%

Giorgia Meloni

$484K Vol.

$126K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

98%

Iran 5+ times

$5.8K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

42%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$905 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

84%

50

$18.3K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

55%

↓ 75,000

$18M Vol.

$947K today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends in 15 days

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$272 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Tipping Point.

Polymarket currently hosts 117 active markets for Tipping Point that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping? ”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $71.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Xi Jinping out by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Tipping Point predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.