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Kurdistan predictions & odds

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Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

4%

$16.8K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

9%

$52.8K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

5%

$141K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

12

Ends in about 1 month

Iraq vs. Norway

Iraq vs. Norway

78%

Norway

$3.5K Vol.

$32.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Türkiye vs. Paraguay

Türkiye vs. Paraguay

44%

Türkiye

$396 Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

3%

May 31

$145K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

10

Khamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

70%

<5

$208 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

86%

<5

$10.5K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Senegal vs. Iraq

Senegal vs. Iraq

51%

Senegal

$0 Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

France vs. Iraq

France vs. Iraq

87%

France

$513 Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima

48%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

$1.0K Vol.

$397K Liq.

Ends in about 6 hours

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

4%

$123K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

12

Ends in about 1 month

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Reilac Shiga vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū

Reilac Shiga vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū

41%

Giravanz Kitakyūshū

$33 Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

Ends in about 6 hours

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

14%

$72.5K Vol.

$22.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Belgium vs. IR Iran

Belgium vs. IR Iran

67%

Belgium

$313 Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Colombia vs. DR Congo

Colombia vs. DR Congo

67%

Colombia

$886 Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Türkiye vs. North Macedonia

Türkiye vs. North Macedonia

47%

North Macedonia

$1 Vol.

$835 Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?

Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?

6%

$32.3K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?

5%

$9.0K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 14 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Kurdistan.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Kurdistan that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 83% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Kurdistan predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.