In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 77% implied probability over Rep. Julie Johnson at 26%, reflecting his 11-point first-round lead on March 3 in the redrawn Dallas-area district, superior fundraising ($6.4 million raised versus Johnson's $2.1 million), and key endorsements including Texas AFL-CIO, Rep. Jasmine Crockett—who is door-knocking this weekend—and Carlos Quintanilla. Allred launched his first paid digital ad on May 8 calling to abolish ICE, countering Johnson's attacks on his support for ICE-related measures like the Laken Riley Act. High turnout among the district's 55% Hispanic voters could tip this intraparty contest in the safely Democratic seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoColin Allred 79%
Julie Johnson 23%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$72,541 Wol.
$72,541 Wol.
May 26, 2026
Colin Allred
79%
Julie Johnson
23%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 79%
Julie Johnson 23%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$72,541 Wol.
$72,541 Wol.
May 26, 2026
Colin Allred
$32,742 Wol.
79%
Julie Johnson
$30,703 Wol.
23%
Carlos Quintanilla
$4,013 Wol.
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
$5,083 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 77% implied probability over Rep. Julie Johnson at 26%, reflecting his 11-point first-round lead on March 3 in the redrawn Dallas-area district, superior fundraising ($6.4 million raised versus Johnson's $2.1 million), and key endorsements including Texas AFL-CIO, Rep. Jasmine Crockett—who is door-knocking this weekend—and Carlos Quintanilla. Allred launched his first paid digital ad on May 8 calling to abolish ICE, countering Johnson's attacks on his support for ICE-related measures like the Laken Riley Act. High turnout among the district's 55% Hispanic voters could tip this intraparty contest in the safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$72,541Data zakończenia
May 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 77% implied probability over Rep. Julie Johnson at 26%, reflecting his 11-point first-round lead on March 3 in the redrawn Dallas-area district, superior fundraising ($6.4 million raised versus Johnson's $2.1 million), and key endorsements including Texas AFL-CIO, Rep. Jasmine Crockett—who is door-knocking this weekend—and Carlos Quintanilla. Allred launched his first paid digital ad on May 8 calling to abolish ICE, countering Johnson's attacks on his support for ICE-related measures like the Laken Riley Act. High turnout among the district's 55% Hispanic voters could tip this intraparty contest in the safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$72,541Data zakończenia
May 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 77% implied probability over Rep. Julie Johnson at 26%, reflecting his 11-point first-round lead on March 3 in the redrawn Dallas-area district, superior fundraising ($6.4 million raised versus Johnson's $2.1 million), and key endorsements including Texas AFL-CIO, Rep. Jasmine Crockett—who is door-knocking this weekend—and Carlos Quintanilla. Allred launched his first paid digital ad on May 8 calling to abolish ICE, countering Johnson's attacks on his support for ICE-related measures like the Laken Riley Act. High turnout among the district's 55% Hispanic voters could tip this intraparty contest in the safely Democratic seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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