Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar leads Polymarket trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, bolstered by her recent acclamation for DFL endorsement at the May 9 district convention, where challenger Latonya Reeves withdrew her name from consideration but pledged to continue to the primary. Omar's strong incumbency advantage—having secured reelection in 2020, 2022, and 2024—combined with endorsements like the Sierra Club's in early April, underpins her dominance in this safely Democratic battleground district encompassing Minneapolis. Reeves, a DNC member and union leader who launched her bid in late 2025, trails at 16.5% amid limited polling and party support, though turnout among progressive and Somali-American voting blocs could influence the closely watched matchup absent major scandals or shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$24,245 Wol.
$24,245 Wol.
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
84%
Latonya Reeves
17%
$24,245 Wol.
$24,245 Wol.
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
$20,035 Wol.
84%
Latonya Reeves
$4,210 Wol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar leads Polymarket trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, bolstered by her recent acclamation for DFL endorsement at the May 9 district convention, where challenger Latonya Reeves withdrew her name from consideration but pledged to continue to the primary. Omar's strong incumbency advantage—having secured reelection in 2020, 2022, and 2024—combined with endorsements like the Sierra Club's in early April, underpins her dominance in this safely Democratic battleground district encompassing Minneapolis. Reeves, a DNC member and union leader who launched her bid in late 2025, trails at 16.5% amid limited polling and party support, though turnout among progressive and Somali-American voting blocs could influence the closely watched matchup absent major scandals or shifts.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Wolumen
$24,245Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar leads Polymarket trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, bolstered by her recent acclamation for DFL endorsement at the May 9 district convention, where challenger Latonya Reeves withdrew her name from consideration but pledged to continue to the primary. Omar's strong incumbency advantage—having secured reelection in 2020, 2022, and 2024—combined with endorsements like the Sierra Club's in early April, underpins her dominance in this safely Democratic battleground district encompassing Minneapolis. Reeves, a DNC member and union leader who launched her bid in late 2025, trails at 16.5% amid limited polling and party support, though turnout among progressive and Somali-American voting blocs could influence the closely watched matchup absent major scandals or shifts.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$24,245Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar leads Polymarket trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, bolstered by her recent acclamation for DFL endorsement at the May 9 district convention, where challenger Latonya Reeves withdrew her name from consideration but pledged to continue to the primary. Omar's strong incumbency advantage—having secured reelection in 2020, 2022, and 2024—combined with endorsements like the Sierra Club's in early April, underpins her dominance in this safely Democratic battleground district encompassing Minneapolis. Reeves, a DNC member and union leader who launched her bid in late 2025, trails at 16.5% amid limited polling and party support, though turnout among progressive and Somali-American voting blocs could influence the closely watched matchup absent major scandals or shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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