SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9
$441,297 Wol.
Apr 15, 2025
April 15
No
April 30
No
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?
No
Super Heavy explodes?
Yes
Trump attends launch?
No
Successful splash down?
No
Launched by May 20
No
Launched by May 31
Yes
$441,297 Wol.
April 15
$4,291 Wol.
No
April 30
$7,720 Wol.
No
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?
$157,153 Wol.
No
Super Heavy explodes?
$99,839 Wol.
Yes
Trump attends launch?
$5,512 Wol.
No
Successful splash down?
$26,850 Wol.
No
Launched by May 20
$17,193 Wol.
No
Launched by May 31
$122,738 Wol.
Yes
If the 9th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by April 15, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 9th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by April 30, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the ninth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during it's landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
This market pertains to the ninth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the ninth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the ninth launch, and this market will stay open until the ninth launch has occurred. If the ninth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the ninth Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
If the ninth launch does not occur by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald attends the ninth Starship-SuperHeavy test launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the event is canceled or postponed beyond December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the test is defined as being in physical attendance within proximity of the launch (e.g. Trump attending the 6th launch would count https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/19/trump-attendings-spacex-launch-elon-musk-starship-.html).
This market pertains to the ninth Starship launch attempt. This market will resolve based on any attempted test regardless of if the rocket lifts off the pad.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Starship upper stage for the ninth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market pertains to the ninth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the ninth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the ninth launch, and this market will stay open until the ninth launch has occurred. If the ninth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.If the 9th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by May 20, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 9th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by May 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
If the 9th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by April 15, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 12, 2025, 11:16 AM ET
Wolumen
$441,297Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2025Rynek otwarty
Mar 12, 2025, 11:16 AM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
If the 9th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by April 15, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 9th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by April 30, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the ninth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during it's landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
This market pertains to the ninth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the ninth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the ninth launch, and this market will stay open until the ninth launch has occurred. If the ninth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the ninth Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
If the ninth launch does not occur by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald attends the ninth Starship-SuperHeavy test launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the event is canceled or postponed beyond December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the test is defined as being in physical attendance within proximity of the launch (e.g. Trump attending the 6th launch would count https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/19/trump-attendings-spacex-launch-elon-musk-starship-.html).
This market pertains to the ninth Starship launch attempt. This market will resolve based on any attempted test regardless of if the rocket lifts off the pad.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Starship upper stage for the ninth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market pertains to the ninth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the ninth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the ninth launch, and this market will stay open until the ninth launch has occurred. If the ninth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.If the 9th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by May 20, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 9th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by May 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
If the 9th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by April 15, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Wolumen
$441,297Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2025Rynek otwarty
Mar 12, 2025, 11:16 AM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
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