Trader consensus favors Democrats at 58% implied probability to win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, triggered by JD Vance's resignation after becoming vice president, with Republican Jon Husted as interim senator facing former Senator Sherrod Brown. Recent March 2026 polls reflect a tightening contest, including EMC Research (Brown +4) and OnMessage (Brown +2), shifting aggregates like 270toWin to a slight Brown edge (47-46%), amid Brown's fundraising dominance ($16.5 million cash on hand vs. Husted's $8.2 million). Heavy Republican super PAC spending, including Senate Leadership Fund's $342 million commitment prioritizing Ohio, underscores competitiveness ahead of May 5 primaries and November 3 general election. The Cook Political Report's April 13 tossup rating highlights volatility in this battleground matchup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOhio Senate Election Winner
Ohio Senate Election Winner
$69,879 Wol.
$69,879 Wol.

Democrat
58%

Republican
41%
$69,879 Wol.
$69,879 Wol.

Democrat
58%

Republican
41%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrats at 58% implied probability to win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, triggered by JD Vance's resignation after becoming vice president, with Republican Jon Husted as interim senator facing former Senator Sherrod Brown. Recent March 2026 polls reflect a tightening contest, including EMC Research (Brown +4) and OnMessage (Brown +2), shifting aggregates like 270toWin to a slight Brown edge (47-46%), amid Brown's fundraising dominance ($16.5 million cash on hand vs. Husted's $8.2 million). Heavy Republican super PAC spending, including Senate Leadership Fund's $342 million commitment prioritizing Ohio, underscores competitiveness ahead of May 5 primaries and November 3 general election. The Cook Political Report's April 13 tossup rating highlights volatility in this battleground matchup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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