Brad Lander holds an 83% implied probability in the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting his recent polling edge and endorsements from progressive leaders including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders. Incumbent Dan Goldman, backed by Governor Kathy Hochul and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, has responded with over $1 million in personal spending announced in late April to counter grassroots momentum in the progressive-leaning district. A May poll showed Lander ahead 47% to 42% among likely voters, underscoring the contest between Lander’s policy focus on working-class issues and Goldman’s record on taxes and immigration oversight. Other candidates trail far behind in both fundraising and name recognition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBrad Lander 83%
Dan Goldman 17%
Cameron Kasky <1%
Alexa Avilés <1%
$11,973 Wol.
$11,973 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
Brad Lander
83%
Dan Goldman
17%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Alexa Avilés
<1%
Yuh-Line Niou
<1%
Brad Lander 83%
Dan Goldman 17%
Cameron Kasky <1%
Alexa Avilés <1%
$11,973 Wol.
$11,973 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
Brad Lander
$4,972 Wol.
83%
Dan Goldman
$2,477 Wol.
17%
Cameron Kasky
$1,595 Wol.
<1%
Alexa Avilés
$1,612 Wol.
<1%
Yuh-Line Niou
$1,317 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Brad Lander holds an 83% implied probability in the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting his recent polling edge and endorsements from progressive leaders including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders. Incumbent Dan Goldman, backed by Governor Kathy Hochul and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, has responded with over $1 million in personal spending announced in late April to counter grassroots momentum in the progressive-leaning district. A May poll showed Lander ahead 47% to 42% among likely voters, underscoring the contest between Lander’s policy focus on working-class issues and Goldman’s record on taxes and immigration oversight. Other candidates trail far behind in both fundraising and name recognition.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,973Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Brad Lander holds an 83% implied probability in the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting his recent polling edge and endorsements from progressive leaders including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders. Incumbent Dan Goldman, backed by Governor Kathy Hochul and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, has responded with over $1 million in personal spending announced in late April to counter grassroots momentum in the progressive-leaning district. A May poll showed Lander ahead 47% to 42% among likely voters, underscoring the contest between Lander’s policy focus on working-class issues and Goldman’s record on taxes and immigration oversight. Other candidates trail far behind in both fundraising and name recognition.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$11,973Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brad Lander holds an 83% implied probability in the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting his recent polling edge and endorsements from progressive leaders including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders. Incumbent Dan Goldman, backed by Governor Kathy Hochul and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, has responded with over $1 million in personal spending announced in late April to counter grassroots momentum in the progressive-leaning district. A May poll showed Lander ahead 47% to 42% among likely voters, underscoring the contest between Lander’s policy focus on working-class issues and Goldman’s record on taxes and immigration oversight. Other candidates trail far behind in both fundraising and name recognition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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