Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the NY-06 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her overwhelming fundraising edge—$1.28 million cash on hand versus challenger Charles Park's $128,000 as of late March—and history of unopposed or easy advancement, including a canceled 2024 primary. Recent developments reinforcing her position include introducing the SAFE CHECK-INS FOR IMMIGRANTS ACT on May 11 and securing a hospitality union endorsement last week, appealing to the district's diverse Queens electorate with large Asian American communities. Park, a former diplomat emphasizing immigrant protections, garners progressive cross-endorsements but trails in resources. Realistic challenges could arise from a Meng scandal, Park's late fundraising surge, or low-turnout dynamics favoring insurgents in this closed primary.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGrace Meng 93%
Charles Park 19.4%
Yan Xiong <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 23, 2026
Grace Meng
93%
Charles Park
19%
Yan Xiong
<1%
Grace Meng 93%
Charles Park 19.4%
Yan Xiong <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 23, 2026
Grace Meng
$687 Wol.
93%
Charles Park
$520 Wol.
19%
Yan Xiong
$736 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the NY-06 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her overwhelming fundraising edge—$1.28 million cash on hand versus challenger Charles Park's $128,000 as of late March—and history of unopposed or easy advancement, including a canceled 2024 primary. Recent developments reinforcing her position include introducing the SAFE CHECK-INS FOR IMMIGRANTS ACT on May 11 and securing a hospitality union endorsement last week, appealing to the district's diverse Queens electorate with large Asian American communities. Park, a former diplomat emphasizing immigrant protections, garners progressive cross-endorsements but trails in resources. Realistic challenges could arise from a Meng scandal, Park's late fundraising surge, or low-turnout dynamics favoring insurgents in this closed primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,943Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the NY-06 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her overwhelming fundraising edge—$1.28 million cash on hand versus challenger Charles Park's $128,000 as of late March—and history of unopposed or easy advancement, including a canceled 2024 primary. Recent developments reinforcing her position include introducing the SAFE CHECK-INS FOR IMMIGRANTS ACT on May 11 and securing a hospitality union endorsement last week, appealing to the district's diverse Queens electorate with large Asian American communities. Park, a former diplomat emphasizing immigrant protections, garners progressive cross-endorsements but trails in resources. Realistic challenges could arise from a Meng scandal, Park's late fundraising surge, or low-turnout dynamics favoring insurgents in this closed primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$1,943Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the NY-06 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her overwhelming fundraising edge—$1.28 million cash on hand versus challenger Charles Park's $128,000 as of late March—and history of unopposed or easy advancement, including a canceled 2024 primary. Recent developments reinforcing her position include introducing the SAFE CHECK-INS FOR IMMIGRANTS ACT on May 11 and securing a hospitality union endorsement last week, appealing to the district's diverse Queens electorate with large Asian American communities. Park, a former diplomat emphasizing immigrant protections, garners progressive cross-endorsements but trails in resources. Realistic challenges could arise from a Meng scandal, Park's late fundraising surge, or low-turnout dynamics favoring insurgents in this closed primary.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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