Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's landslide primary win on March 10, capturing over 86% against challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III, has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic hold in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election on November 3. The district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its majority-minority electorate and Thompson's 33-year tenure since 1993, historically rates as safely Democratic per nonpartisan analyses like Cook Political Report. Republican nominee Ron Eller, who narrowly advanced from a protracted primary called March 21, faces steep uphill battle amid limited GOP infrastructure. While commanding odds reflect entrenched incumbency advantage, scenarios like a Thompson health issue, major scandal, or unprecedented Black voter turnout drop could shift dynamics, though base rates for such upsets remain low.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMS-02 House Election Winner
MS-02 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$800 Wol.
92%
Republican Party
$624 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's landslide primary win on March 10, capturing over 86% against challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III, has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic hold in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election on November 3. The district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its majority-minority electorate and Thompson's 33-year tenure since 1993, historically rates as safely Democratic per nonpartisan analyses like Cook Political Report. Republican nominee Ron Eller, who narrowly advanced from a protracted primary called March 21, faces steep uphill battle amid limited GOP infrastructure. While commanding odds reflect entrenched incumbency advantage, scenarios like a Thompson health issue, major scandal, or unprecedented Black voter turnout drop could shift dynamics, though base rates for such upsets remain low.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,424Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's landslide primary win on March 10, capturing over 86% against challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III, has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic hold in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election on November 3. The district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its majority-minority electorate and Thompson's 33-year tenure since 1993, historically rates as safely Democratic per nonpartisan analyses like Cook Political Report. Republican nominee Ron Eller, who narrowly advanced from a protracted primary called March 21, faces steep uphill battle amid limited GOP infrastructure. While commanding odds reflect entrenched incumbency advantage, scenarios like a Thompson health issue, major scandal, or unprecedented Black voter turnout drop could shift dynamics, though base rates for such upsets remain low.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$1,424Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's landslide primary win on March 10, capturing over 86% against challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III, has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic hold in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election on November 3. The district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its majority-minority electorate and Thompson's 33-year tenure since 1993, historically rates as safely Democratic per nonpartisan analyses like Cook Political Report. Republican nominee Ron Eller, who narrowly advanced from a protracted primary called March 21, faces steep uphill battle amid limited GOP infrastructure. While commanding odds reflect entrenched incumbency advantage, scenarios like a Thompson health issue, major scandal, or unprecedented Black voter turnout drop could shift dynamics, though base rates for such upsets remain low.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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