Missouri's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent Republican's 61 percent margin in the prior cycle. Bob Onder, first elected in 2024, faces a primary challenger while multiple Democrats including repeat candidate Bethany Mann compete on the other side ahead of the August 4 primaries. Nonpartisan race raters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a commanding lead because structural advantages and historical results leave little room for an upset absent an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or unusually high opposition turnout in the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$67 Wol.
91%
Democratic Party
$5,653 Wol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent Republican's 61 percent margin in the prior cycle. Bob Onder, first elected in 2024, faces a primary challenger while multiple Democrats including repeat candidate Bethany Mann compete on the other side ahead of the August 4 primaries. Nonpartisan race raters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a commanding lead because structural advantages and historical results leave little room for an upset absent an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or unusually high opposition turnout in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,720Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent Republican's 61 percent margin in the prior cycle. Bob Onder, first elected in 2024, faces a primary challenger while multiple Democrats including repeat candidate Bethany Mann compete on the other side ahead of the August 4 primaries. Nonpartisan race raters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a commanding lead because structural advantages and historical results leave little room for an upset absent an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or unusually high opposition turnout in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$5,720Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent Republican's 61 percent margin in the prior cycle. Bob Onder, first elected in 2024, faces a primary challenger while multiple Democrats including repeat candidate Bethany Mann compete on the other side ahead of the August 4 primaries. Nonpartisan race raters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a commanding lead because structural advantages and historical results leave little room for an upset absent an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or unusually high opposition turnout in the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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