Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga’s decision to seek reelection in Michigan’s 4th congressional district, rated R+3 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, continues to anchor trader expectations near even odds. Recent March 2026 polling showed Huizenga leading Democratic primary contender Sean McCann by six points among likely voters, while earlier generic-ballot surveys placed the parties within two points. The August 4 primaries will narrow the field, with McCann backed by Governor Gretchen Whitmer and Republicans facing a minor intraparty challenge. National midterm dynamics, voter turnout in this western Michigan district, and any late shifts in economic or presidential approval measures could widen or close the gap before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMI-04 House Election Winner
MI-04 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
53%
Democratic Party
43%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$336 Wol.
53%
Democratic Party
$511 Wol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga’s decision to seek reelection in Michigan’s 4th congressional district, rated R+3 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, continues to anchor trader expectations near even odds. Recent March 2026 polling showed Huizenga leading Democratic primary contender Sean McCann by six points among likely voters, while earlier generic-ballot surveys placed the parties within two points. The August 4 primaries will narrow the field, with McCann backed by Governor Gretchen Whitmer and Republicans facing a minor intraparty challenge. National midterm dynamics, voter turnout in this western Michigan district, and any late shifts in economic or presidential approval measures could widen or close the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$847Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga’s decision to seek reelection in Michigan’s 4th congressional district, rated R+3 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, continues to anchor trader expectations near even odds. Recent March 2026 polling showed Huizenga leading Democratic primary contender Sean McCann by six points among likely voters, while earlier generic-ballot surveys placed the parties within two points. The August 4 primaries will narrow the field, with McCann backed by Governor Gretchen Whitmer and Republicans facing a minor intraparty challenge. National midterm dynamics, voter turnout in this western Michigan district, and any late shifts in economic or presidential approval measures could widen or close the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$847Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga’s decision to seek reelection in Michigan’s 4th congressional district, rated R+3 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, continues to anchor trader expectations near even odds. Recent March 2026 polling showed Huizenga leading Democratic primary contender Sean McCann by six points among likely voters, while earlier generic-ballot surveys placed the parties within two points. The August 4 primaries will narrow the field, with McCann backed by Governor Gretchen Whitmer and Republicans facing a minor intraparty challenge. National midterm dynamics, voter turnout in this western Michigan district, and any late shifts in economic or presidential approval measures could widen or close the gap before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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