Trader consensus favors a lengthy sentence exceeding 60 years at 34.5% for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, reflecting the gravity of U.S. federal narcoterrorism and cocaine trafficking charges unsealed in January 2026 following his capture by U.S. forces and transfer to pretrial detention in New York. No prison time at 23% accounts for ongoing defense challenges to jurisdiction, head-of-state immunity, and sanctions blocking state-funded legal fees, as ruled in March hearings where charges withstood dismissal bids. Shorter terms like 20–40 years (15.6%) or 40–60 (13%) hinge on potential plea negotiations, while a June 30 court date could clarify trial timelines or evidentiary disputes, consolidating odds based on cooperating witnesses or procedural outcomes amid Venezuela's post-ouster transition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano60+ 35%
Brak kary więzienia 23%
20–40 15.6%
40–60 13%
$506,588 Wol.
$506,588 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
Brak kary więzienia
23%
<20
5%
20–40
16%
40–60
13%
60+
35%
60+ 35%
Brak kary więzienia 23%
20–40 15.6%
40–60 13%
$506,588 Wol.
$506,588 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
Brak kary więzienia
$373,296 Wol.
23%
<20
$37,509 Wol.
5%
20–40
$47,931 Wol.
16%
40–60
$15,752 Wol.
13%
60+
$32,099 Wol.
35%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors a lengthy sentence exceeding 60 years at 34.5% for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, reflecting the gravity of U.S. federal narcoterrorism and cocaine trafficking charges unsealed in January 2026 following his capture by U.S. forces and transfer to pretrial detention in New York. No prison time at 23% accounts for ongoing defense challenges to jurisdiction, head-of-state immunity, and sanctions blocking state-funded legal fees, as ruled in March hearings where charges withstood dismissal bids. Shorter terms like 20–40 years (15.6%) or 40–60 (13%) hinge on potential plea negotiations, while a June 30 court date could clarify trial timelines or evidentiary disputes, consolidating odds based on cooperating witnesses or procedural outcomes amid Venezuela's post-ouster transition.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$506,588Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors a lengthy sentence exceeding 60 years at 34.5% for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, reflecting the gravity of U.S. federal narcoterrorism and cocaine trafficking charges unsealed in January 2026 following his capture by U.S. forces and transfer to pretrial detention in New York. No prison time at 23% accounts for ongoing defense challenges to jurisdiction, head-of-state immunity, and sanctions blocking state-funded legal fees, as ruled in March hearings where charges withstood dismissal bids. Shorter terms like 20–40 years (15.6%) or 40–60 (13%) hinge on potential plea negotiations, while a June 30 court date could clarify trial timelines or evidentiary disputes, consolidating odds based on cooperating witnesses or procedural outcomes amid Venezuela's post-ouster transition.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$506,588Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors a lengthy sentence exceeding 60 years at 34.5% for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, reflecting the gravity of U.S. federal narcoterrorism and cocaine trafficking charges unsealed in January 2026 following his capture by U.S. forces and transfer to pretrial detention in New York. No prison time at 23% accounts for ongoing defense challenges to jurisdiction, head-of-state immunity, and sanctions blocking state-funded legal fees, as ruled in March hearings where charges withstood dismissal bids. Shorter terms like 20–40 years (15.6%) or 40–60 (13%) hinge on potential plea negotiations, while a June 30 court date could clarify trial timelines or evidentiary disputes, consolidating odds based on cooperating witnesses or procedural outcomes amid Venezuela's post-ouster transition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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