Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026, primary for Illinois' 5th Congressional District with 65.5% of the vote, setting up a rematch with Republican Tommy Hanson, who won his primary at 71.9% and has challenged Quigley unsuccessfully five straight cycles amid consistent 26-31% showings. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+19 partisan voting index, the North Side Chicago district's high education levels and urban-suburban makeup favor Democrats, bolstered by Quigley's $1.2 million cash-on-hand advantage. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects these entrenched fundamentals and historical margins exceeding 68%, though a major scandal, Quigley's health issue, or extreme national Republican wave could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIL-05 House Election Winner
IL-05 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026, primary for Illinois' 5th Congressional District with 65.5% of the vote, setting up a rematch with Republican Tommy Hanson, who won his primary at 71.9% and has challenged Quigley unsuccessfully five straight cycles amid consistent 26-31% showings. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+19 partisan voting index, the North Side Chicago district's high education levels and urban-suburban makeup favor Democrats, bolstered by Quigley's $1.2 million cash-on-hand advantage. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects these entrenched fundamentals and historical margins exceeding 68%, though a major scandal, Quigley's health issue, or extreme national Republican wave could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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