The Republican Party's 67 percent implied probability in the FL-13 House election market stems from the district's R+5 partisan voting index and the strong position of incumbent Representative Anna Paulina Luna. Recent mid-decade redistricting preserved much of the Republican base across Pinellas and Pasco counties, limiting Democratic opportunities despite multiple primary challengers including Leela Gray. Primaries set for August 18, 2026, will narrow fields before the November 3 general election, while the current trader consensus reflects the structural GOP edge and limited signs of a national environment capable of shifting the seat at this stage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFL-13 House Election Winner
FL-13 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
31%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$221 Wol.
70%
Democratic Party
$832 Wol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party's 67 percent implied probability in the FL-13 House election market stems from the district's R+5 partisan voting index and the strong position of incumbent Representative Anna Paulina Luna. Recent mid-decade redistricting preserved much of the Republican base across Pinellas and Pasco counties, limiting Democratic opportunities despite multiple primary challengers including Leela Gray. Primaries set for August 18, 2026, will narrow fields before the November 3 general election, while the current trader consensus reflects the structural GOP edge and limited signs of a national environment capable of shifting the seat at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,053Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party's 67 percent implied probability in the FL-13 House election market stems from the district's R+5 partisan voting index and the strong position of incumbent Representative Anna Paulina Luna. Recent mid-decade redistricting preserved much of the Republican base across Pinellas and Pasco counties, limiting Democratic opportunities despite multiple primary challengers including Leela Gray. Primaries set for August 18, 2026, will narrow fields before the November 3 general election, while the current trader consensus reflects the structural GOP edge and limited signs of a national environment capable of shifting the seat at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$1,053Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party's 67 percent implied probability in the FL-13 House election market stems from the district's R+5 partisan voting index and the strong position of incumbent Representative Anna Paulina Luna. Recent mid-decade redistricting preserved much of the Republican base across Pinellas and Pasco counties, limiting Democratic opportunities despite multiple primary challengers including Leela Gray. Primaries set for August 18, 2026, will narrow fields before the November 3 general election, while the current trader consensus reflects the structural GOP edge and limited signs of a national environment capable of shifting the seat at this stage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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