Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at an 89% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing as of late April and the company's ample liquidity from recent financings that diminish near-term public listing urgency. In February 2026, Databricks closed a $5 billion equity round plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion private valuation, following December's $4 billion raise amid 65% year-over-year growth to a $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue run-rate, fueled by its data lakehouse platform and AI tools like Mosaic AI for enterprise model training. Analysts project a potential S-1 in Q3 2026 at earliest, aligning with historical timelines of 6-12 months pre-IPO for confidential filings, while competitive pressures from Google Cloud's cross-cloud lakehouse announcements add execution risks. Upcoming catalysts include Q2 earnings hints or regulatory filings that could shift sentiment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLimit giełdowy IPO Databricks
Limit giełdowy IPO Databricks
Brak IPO do 30 czerwca 2026 roku 88.3%
125–150 mld 5.6%
250 mld+ 3.7%
<100 mld 1.3%
$394,861 Wol.
$394,861 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 mld
1%
100–125 mld
1%
125–150 mld
6%
150–175 mld
1%
175–200 mld
1%
200–250 mld USD
1%
250 mld+
4%
Brak IPO do 30 czerwca 2026 roku
88%
Brak IPO do 30 czerwca 2026 roku 88.3%
125–150 mld 5.6%
250 mld+ 3.7%
<100 mld 1.3%
$394,861 Wol.
$394,861 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 mld
$32,697 Wol.
1%
100–125 mld
$60,701 Wol.
1%
125–150 mld
$25,498 Wol.
6%
150–175 mld
$59,175 Wol.
1%
175–200 mld
$57,461 Wol.
1%
200–250 mld USD
$19,504 Wol.
1%
250 mld+
$125,521 Wol.
4%
Brak IPO do 30 czerwca 2026 roku
$14,305 Wol.
88%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at an 89% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing as of late April and the company's ample liquidity from recent financings that diminish near-term public listing urgency. In February 2026, Databricks closed a $5 billion equity round plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion private valuation, following December's $4 billion raise amid 65% year-over-year growth to a $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue run-rate, fueled by its data lakehouse platform and AI tools like Mosaic AI for enterprise model training. Analysts project a potential S-1 in Q3 2026 at earliest, aligning with historical timelines of 6-12 months pre-IPO for confidential filings, while competitive pressures from Google Cloud's cross-cloud lakehouse announcements add execution risks. Upcoming catalysts include Q2 earnings hints or regulatory filings that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$394,861Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at an 89% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing as of late April and the company's ample liquidity from recent financings that diminish near-term public listing urgency. In February 2026, Databricks closed a $5 billion equity round plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion private valuation, following December's $4 billion raise amid 65% year-over-year growth to a $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue run-rate, fueled by its data lakehouse platform and AI tools like Mosaic AI for enterprise model training. Analysts project a potential S-1 in Q3 2026 at earliest, aligning with historical timelines of 6-12 months pre-IPO for confidential filings, while competitive pressures from Google Cloud's cross-cloud lakehouse announcements add execution risks. Upcoming catalysts include Q2 earnings hints or regulatory filings that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$394,861Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at an 89% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing as of late April and the company's ample liquidity from recent financings that diminish near-term public listing urgency. In February 2026, Databricks closed a $5 billion equity round plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion private valuation, following December's $4 billion raise amid 65% year-over-year growth to a $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue run-rate, fueled by its data lakehouse platform and AI tools like Mosaic AI for enterprise model training. Analysts project a potential S-1 in Q3 2026 at earliest, aligning with historical timelines of 6-12 months pre-IPO for confidential filings, while competitive pressures from Google Cloud's cross-cloud lakehouse announcements add execution risks. Upcoming catalysts include Q2 earnings hints or regulatory filings that could shift sentiment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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