Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at an 88.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcements as of mid-May 2026, with typical SEC review, roadshow, and pricing processes spanning 2-3 months. The data analytics and AI platform leader, valued at $134 billion in its February 2026 funding round boasting $5.4 billion ARR and 65% year-over-year growth, has fueled 2026 IPO speculation amid the AI surge, but yesterday's Cerebras Systems debut serves as a bellwether without accelerating Databricks timelines. Low probabilities across valuation bins (e.g., 2.1% for $200-250 billion) reflect public market discounts from private valuations and execution risks, with traders eyeing potential Q3 filings as the key catalyst.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLimit giełdowy IPO Databricks
Limit giełdowy IPO Databricks
Brak IPO do 30 czerwca 2026 roku 83.3%
200–250 mld USD 2.1%
125–150 mld 1.4%
<100 mld <1%
$403,994 Wol.
$403,994 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 mld
<1%
100–125 mld
<1%
125–150 mld
1%
150–175 mld
<1%
175–200 mld
<1%
200–250 mld USD
2%
250 mld+
<1%
Brak IPO do 30 czerwca 2026 roku
83%
Brak IPO do 30 czerwca 2026 roku 83.3%
200–250 mld USD 2.1%
125–150 mld 1.4%
<100 mld <1%
$403,994 Wol.
$403,994 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 mld
$33,240 Wol.
<1%
100–125 mld
$62,203 Wol.
<1%
125–150 mld
$26,692 Wol.
1%
150–175 mld
$59,896 Wol.
<1%
175–200 mld
$58,153 Wol.
<1%
200–250 mld USD
$21,122 Wol.
2%
250 mld+
$126,215 Wol.
<1%
Brak IPO do 30 czerwca 2026 roku
$16,474 Wol.
83%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at an 88.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcements as of mid-May 2026, with typical SEC review, roadshow, and pricing processes spanning 2-3 months. The data analytics and AI platform leader, valued at $134 billion in its February 2026 funding round boasting $5.4 billion ARR and 65% year-over-year growth, has fueled 2026 IPO speculation amid the AI surge, but yesterday's Cerebras Systems debut serves as a bellwether without accelerating Databricks timelines. Low probabilities across valuation bins (e.g., 2.1% for $200-250 billion) reflect public market discounts from private valuations and execution risks, with traders eyeing potential Q3 filings as the key catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$403,994Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at an 88.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcements as of mid-May 2026, with typical SEC review, roadshow, and pricing processes spanning 2-3 months. The data analytics and AI platform leader, valued at $134 billion in its February 2026 funding round boasting $5.4 billion ARR and 65% year-over-year growth, has fueled 2026 IPO speculation amid the AI surge, but yesterday's Cerebras Systems debut serves as a bellwether without accelerating Databricks timelines. Low probabilities across valuation bins (e.g., 2.1% for $200-250 billion) reflect public market discounts from private valuations and execution risks, with traders eyeing potential Q3 filings as the key catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$403,994Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at an 88.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcements as of mid-May 2026, with typical SEC review, roadshow, and pricing processes spanning 2-3 months. The data analytics and AI platform leader, valued at $134 billion in its February 2026 funding round boasting $5.4 billion ARR and 65% year-over-year growth, has fueled 2026 IPO speculation amid the AI surge, but yesterday's Cerebras Systems debut serves as a bellwether without accelerating Databricks timelines. Low probabilities across valuation bins (e.g., 2.1% for $200-250 billion) reflect public market discounts from private valuations and execution risks, with traders eyeing potential Q3 filings as the key catalyst.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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