Databricks' recent private funding rounds at escalating valuations—reaching $190 billion in August 2026 after a prior $134 billion close—underscore ample institutional demand that reduces near-term IPO urgency. CEO Ali Ghodsi has explicitly flagged 2026 as unfavorable for listing amid a crowded slate of large tech offerings, prioritizing control and flexibility over public market volatility. With revenue run rates exceeding $4.8 billion and 55%+ year-over-year growth driven by AI and data products, the company sustains high implied multiples privately. These dynamics support the 63% market-implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, while any eventual debut would likely price off current private benchmarks amid uncertain macro conditions for equity issuances.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$400B-$450B 72%
$450B+ 69%
$200B-$250B 68%
$350B-$400B 68%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2027
<$150B
60%
$150B-$200B
66%
$200B-$250B
68%
$250B-$300B
66%
$300B-$350B
66%
$350B-$400B
68%
$400B-$450B
72%
$450B+
69%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
63%
$400B-$450B 72%
$450B+ 69%
$200B-$250B 68%
$350B-$400B 68%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2027
<$150B
$0 Wol.
60%
$150B-$200B
$0 Wol.
66%
$200B-$250B
$18 Wol.
68%
$250B-$300B
$18 Wol.
66%
$300B-$350B
$18 Wol.
66%
$350B-$400B
$18 Wol.
68%
$400B-$450B
$0 Wol.
72%
$450B+
$0 Wol.
69%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$172 Wol.
63%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' recent private funding rounds at escalating valuations—reaching $190 billion in August 2026 after a prior $134 billion close—underscore ample institutional demand that reduces near-term IPO urgency. CEO Ali Ghodsi has explicitly flagged 2026 as unfavorable for listing amid a crowded slate of large tech offerings, prioritizing control and flexibility over public market volatility. With revenue run rates exceeding $4.8 billion and 55%+ year-over-year growth driven by AI and data products, the company sustains high implied multiples privately. These dynamics support the 63% market-implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, while any eventual debut would likely price off current private benchmarks amid uncertain macro conditions for equity issuances.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$244Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' recent private funding rounds at escalating valuations—reaching $190 billion in August 2026 after a prior $134 billion close—underscore ample institutional demand that reduces near-term IPO urgency. CEO Ali Ghodsi has explicitly flagged 2026 as unfavorable for listing amid a crowded slate of large tech offerings, prioritizing control and flexibility over public market volatility. With revenue run rates exceeding $4.8 billion and 55%+ year-over-year growth driven by AI and data products, the company sustains high implied multiples privately. These dynamics support the 63% market-implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, while any eventual debut would likely price off current private benchmarks amid uncertain macro conditions for equity issuances.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$244Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' recent private funding rounds at escalating valuations—reaching $190 billion in August 2026 after a prior $134 billion close—underscore ample institutional demand that reduces near-term IPO urgency. CEO Ali Ghodsi has explicitly flagged 2026 as unfavorable for listing amid a crowded slate of large tech offerings, prioritizing control and flexibility over public market volatility. With revenue run rates exceeding $4.8 billion and 55%+ year-over-year growth driven by AI and data products, the company sustains high implied multiples privately. These dynamics support the 63% market-implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, while any eventual debut would likely price off current private benchmarks amid uncertain macro conditions for equity issuances.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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