Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th Congressional District following his 2024 victory and redistricting that shifted the Orange County seat to a D+10 lean, as evidenced by its Harris +10 performance in the presidential race. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, traders reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on Min's incumbency advantage, strong fundraising, and the district's Democratic tilt, pricing a Republican upset at just 7%. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, potential challenges include a formidable Republican emerging from the primary to force a general election rematch, late scandals, or shifts in midterm turnout dynamics favoring Republicans nationally.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-47 House Election Winner
CA-47 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$811 Wol.
93%
Republican Party
$109 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th Congressional District following his 2024 victory and redistricting that shifted the Orange County seat to a D+10 lean, as evidenced by its Harris +10 performance in the presidential race. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, traders reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on Min's incumbency advantage, strong fundraising, and the district's Democratic tilt, pricing a Republican upset at just 7%. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, potential challenges include a formidable Republican emerging from the primary to force a general election rematch, late scandals, or shifts in midterm turnout dynamics favoring Republicans nationally.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$921Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th Congressional District following his 2024 victory and redistricting that shifted the Orange County seat to a D+10 lean, as evidenced by its Harris +10 performance in the presidential race. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, traders reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on Min's incumbency advantage, strong fundraising, and the district's Democratic tilt, pricing a Republican upset at just 7%. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, potential challenges include a formidable Republican emerging from the primary to force a general election rematch, late scandals, or shifts in midterm turnout dynamics favoring Republicans nationally.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$921Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th Congressional District following his 2024 victory and redistricting that shifted the Orange County seat to a D+10 lean, as evidenced by its Harris +10 performance in the presidential race. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, traders reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on Min's incumbency advantage, strong fundraising, and the district's Democratic tilt, pricing a Republican upset at just 7%. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, potential challenges include a formidable Republican emerging from the primary to force a general election rematch, late scandals, or shifts in midterm turnout dynamics favoring Republicans nationally.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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