California's 31st congressional district features a pronounced Democratic tilt, reinforced by the state's 2025 redistricting process that shifted boundaries further toward Democratic-leaning voters. Incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the seat in 2024 with nearly 60 percent of the vote and faces limited opposition in the June 2 top-two primary from Republicans Eric Ching and Erskine Levi. Nonpartisan analysts have assigned the race a Solid Democratic rating, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and historical margins in the district. Trader pricing aligns with this structural edge while acknowledging that a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national Republican surge ahead of the November general election could still introduce volatility into the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-31 House Election Winner
CA-31 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,300 Wol.
93%
Republican Party
$3,113 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 31st congressional district features a pronounced Democratic tilt, reinforced by the state's 2025 redistricting process that shifted boundaries further toward Democratic-leaning voters. Incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the seat in 2024 with nearly 60 percent of the vote and faces limited opposition in the June 2 top-two primary from Republicans Eric Ching and Erskine Levi. Nonpartisan analysts have assigned the race a Solid Democratic rating, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and historical margins in the district. Trader pricing aligns with this structural edge while acknowledging that a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national Republican surge ahead of the November general election could still introduce volatility into the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,413Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 31st congressional district features a pronounced Democratic tilt, reinforced by the state's 2025 redistricting process that shifted boundaries further toward Democratic-leaning voters. Incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the seat in 2024 with nearly 60 percent of the vote and faces limited opposition in the June 2 top-two primary from Republicans Eric Ching and Erskine Levi. Nonpartisan analysts have assigned the race a Solid Democratic rating, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and historical margins in the district. Trader pricing aligns with this structural edge while acknowledging that a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national Republican surge ahead of the November general election could still introduce volatility into the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$7,413Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 31st congressional district features a pronounced Democratic tilt, reinforced by the state's 2025 redistricting process that shifted boundaries further toward Democratic-leaning voters. Incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the seat in 2024 with nearly 60 percent of the vote and faces limited opposition in the June 2 top-two primary from Republicans Eric Ching and Erskine Levi. Nonpartisan analysts have assigned the race a Solid Democratic rating, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and historical margins in the district. Trader pricing aligns with this structural edge while acknowledging that a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national Republican surge ahead of the November general election could still introduce volatility into the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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