Kevin Kiley, running as an independent after switching from the Republican Party, leads early returns in California’s 6th Congressional District top-two primary, followed closely by Republican Michael Stansfield and Democrat Richard Pan. The district was redrawn under Proposition 50 to favor Democrats, prompting former incumbent Ami Bera to seek another seat and leaving a crowded Democratic field that has split support among several candidates. Late-counted mail and provisional ballots, which often favor Democrats in California, could alter final advancement to the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing highlights Kiley’s and Pan’s advantages in name recognition and organization amid this vote fragmentation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-06 Primary Winners
CA-06 Primary Winners
$5,784 Wol.
Jun 2, 2026
Kevin Kiley
98%
Richard Pan
83%
Michael Stansfield
10%
Thien Ho
3%
Tyler Vandenberg
3%
Martha Guerrero
1%
Lauren Babb Tomlinson
1%
$5,784 Wol.
Kevin Kiley
$622 Wol.
98%
Richard Pan
$271 Wol.
83%
Michael Stansfield
$1,258 Wol.
10%
Thien Ho
$1,314 Wol.
3%
Tyler Vandenberg
$692 Wol.
3%
Martha Guerrero
$614 Wol.
1%
Lauren Babb Tomlinson
$1,014 Wol.
1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Kevin Kiley, running as an independent after switching from the Republican Party, leads early returns in California’s 6th Congressional District top-two primary, followed closely by Republican Michael Stansfield and Democrat Richard Pan. The district was redrawn under Proposition 50 to favor Democrats, prompting former incumbent Ami Bera to seek another seat and leaving a crowded Democratic field that has split support among several candidates. Late-counted mail and provisional ballots, which often favor Democrats in California, could alter final advancement to the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing highlights Kiley’s and Pan’s advantages in name recognition and organization amid this vote fragmentation.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,784Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Kevin Kiley, running as an independent after switching from the Republican Party, leads early returns in California’s 6th Congressional District top-two primary, followed closely by Republican Michael Stansfield and Democrat Richard Pan. The district was redrawn under Proposition 50 to favor Democrats, prompting former incumbent Ami Bera to seek another seat and leaving a crowded Democratic field that has split support among several candidates. Late-counted mail and provisional ballots, which often favor Democrats in California, could alter final advancement to the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing highlights Kiley’s and Pan’s advantages in name recognition and organization amid this vote fragmentation.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$5,784Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Kiley, running as an independent after switching from the Republican Party, leads early returns in California’s 6th Congressional District top-two primary, followed closely by Republican Michael Stansfield and Democrat Richard Pan. The district was redrawn under Proposition 50 to favor Democrats, prompting former incumbent Ami Bera to seek another seat and leaving a crowded Democratic field that has split support among several candidates. Late-counted mail and provisional ballots, which often favor Democrats in California, could alter final advancement to the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing highlights Kiley’s and Pan’s advantages in name recognition and organization amid this vote fragmentation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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