California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50 with a D+5 partisan voter index, favors Democrats in the November 3 general election between Democrat Richard Pan and No Party Preference incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with Republicans. Primary results and recent district polling reflect this tilt, with Pan holding a modest edge consistent with statewide generic ballot trends showing Democratic leads. The top-two primary system and district demographics have consolidated support behind the Democratic nominee, driving trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. Factors that could still alter the result include shifts in turnout among independents, late developments in the race, or broader changes in the national political environment before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-06 House Election Winner
CA-06 House Election Winner
$50,822 Wol.
$50,822 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$50,822 Wol.
$50,822 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$26,032 Wol.
96%
Republican Party
$24,791 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50 with a D+5 partisan voter index, favors Democrats in the November 3 general election between Democrat Richard Pan and No Party Preference incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with Republicans. Primary results and recent district polling reflect this tilt, with Pan holding a modest edge consistent with statewide generic ballot trends showing Democratic leads. The top-two primary system and district demographics have consolidated support behind the Democratic nominee, driving trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. Factors that could still alter the result include shifts in turnout among independents, late developments in the race, or broader changes in the national political environment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$50,822Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50 with a D+5 partisan voter index, favors Democrats in the November 3 general election between Democrat Richard Pan and No Party Preference incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with Republicans. Primary results and recent district polling reflect this tilt, with Pan holding a modest edge consistent with statewide generic ballot trends showing Democratic leads. The top-two primary system and district demographics have consolidated support behind the Democratic nominee, driving trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. Factors that could still alter the result include shifts in turnout among independents, late developments in the race, or broader changes in the national political environment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$50,822Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50 with a D+5 partisan voter index, favors Democrats in the November 3 general election between Democrat Richard Pan and No Party Preference incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with Republicans. Primary results and recent district polling reflect this tilt, with Pan holding a modest edge consistent with statewide generic ballot trends showing Democratic leads. The top-two primary system and district demographics have consolidated support behind the Democratic nominee, driving trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. Factors that could still alter the result include shifts in turnout among independents, late developments in the race, or broader changes in the national political environment before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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