NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information released its April 2026 global climate report around May 10, confirming the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index anomaly at 1.17°C above the 1901-2000 twentieth-century average—firmly within the 1.15–1.19ºC bin—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the primary resolution source. This aligns with Copernicus ERA5 data showing a +1.43°C anomaly relative to the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline and +0.52°C above 1991-2020, reflecting second-highest sea surface temperatures amid an emerging El Niño in the equatorial Pacific. Datasets differ due to measurement methodologies (land stations plus ocean buoys vs. reanalysis models), but cross-verification reinforces certainty. Realistic challenges include rare post-release revisions by NOAA, though final figures exhibit high stability; no major updates expected.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoApril 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.15–1.19ºC 100.0%
<1.10ºC <1%
1.10–1.14ºC <1%
1.20–1.24ºC <1%
$383,569 Wol.
$383,569 Wol.
May 10, 2026
<1.10ºC
No
1.10–1.14ºC
No
1.15–1.19ºC
Yes
1.20–1.24ºC
No
1.25–1.29ºC
No
>1.29ºC
No
1.15–1.19ºC 100.0%
<1.10ºC <1%
1.10–1.14ºC <1%
1.20–1.24ºC <1%
$383,569 Wol.
$383,569 Wol.
May 10, 2026
<1.10ºC
$64,037 Wol.
No
1.10–1.14ºC
$65,723 Wol.
No
1.15–1.19ºC
$56,227 Wol.
Yes
1.20–1.24ºC
$79,792 Wol.
No
1.25–1.29ºC
$65,973 Wol.
No
>1.29ºC
$51,817 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for April 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for April 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information released its April 2026 global climate report around May 10, confirming the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index anomaly at 1.17°C above the 1901-2000 twentieth-century average—firmly within the 1.15–1.19ºC bin—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the primary resolution source. This aligns with Copernicus ERA5 data showing a +1.43°C anomaly relative to the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline and +0.52°C above 1991-2020, reflecting second-highest sea surface temperatures amid an emerging El Niño in the equatorial Pacific. Datasets differ due to measurement methodologies (land stations plus ocean buoys vs. reanalysis models), but cross-verification reinforces certainty. Realistic challenges include rare post-release revisions by NOAA, though final figures exhibit high stability; no major updates expected.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for April 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for April 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for April 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for April 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 23, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$383,569Data zakończenia
May 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 23, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for April 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for April 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information released its April 2026 global climate report around May 10, confirming the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index anomaly at 1.17°C above the 1901-2000 twentieth-century average—firmly within the 1.15–1.19ºC bin—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the primary resolution source. This aligns with Copernicus ERA5 data showing a +1.43°C anomaly relative to the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline and +0.52°C above 1991-2020, reflecting second-highest sea surface temperatures amid an emerging El Niño in the equatorial Pacific. Datasets differ due to measurement methodologies (land stations plus ocean buoys vs. reanalysis models), but cross-verification reinforces certainty. Realistic challenges include rare post-release revisions by NOAA, though final figures exhibit high stability; no major updates expected.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for April 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for April 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for April 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for April 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Wolumen
$383,569Data zakończenia
May 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 23, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information released its April 2026 global climate report around May 10, confirming the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index anomaly at 1.17°C above the 1901-2000 twentieth-century average—firmly within the 1.15–1.19ºC bin—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the primary resolution source. This aligns with Copernicus ERA5 data showing a +1.43°C anomaly relative to the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline and +0.52°C above 1991-2020, reflecting second-highest sea surface temperatures amid an emerging El Niño in the equatorial Pacific. Datasets differ due to measurement methodologies (land stations plus ocean buoys vs. reanalysis models), but cross-verification reinforces certainty. Realistic challenges include rare post-release revisions by NOAA, though final figures exhibit high stability; no major updates expected.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania