Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 110-130 million votes, reflecting uncertainty over voter enthusiasm amid President Trump's second term and polarized generic ballot polls favoring Democrats by narrowing margins. Recent March primaries in Texas, Illinois, and North Carolina posted record midterm turnout levels—driven by Democratic surges in early voting—signaling elevated engagement compared to 2022's 111 million votes, though GOP mobilization efforts like the Save America Act push for voter ID could boost base participation. Historical precedents like 2018's 118 million underscore potential for highs in battleground states, but economic pressures, special election signals, and upcoming summer primaries or debates could widen gaps toward higher bins if enthusiasm sustains or drops if apathy sets in. Resolution awaits certified national House popular vote totals post-November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano115-120m 22%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 16%
120-125m 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
4%
85-90m
9%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
4%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
12%
110-115m
16%
115-120m
22%
120-125m
13%
125-130m
25%
130m+
6%
115-120m 22%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 16%
120-125m 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$319 Wol.
4%
85-90m
$419 Wol.
9%
90-95m
$831 Wol.
1%
95-100m
$269 Wol.
4%
100-105m
$631 Wol.
6%
105-110m
$431 Wol.
12%
110-115m
$440 Wol.
16%
115-120m
$1,020 Wol.
22%
120-125m
$371 Wol.
13%
125-130m
$1,158 Wol.
25%
130m+
$245 Wol.
6%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 110-130 million votes, reflecting uncertainty over voter enthusiasm amid President Trump's second term and polarized generic ballot polls favoring Democrats by narrowing margins. Recent March primaries in Texas, Illinois, and North Carolina posted record midterm turnout levels—driven by Democratic surges in early voting—signaling elevated engagement compared to 2022's 111 million votes, though GOP mobilization efforts like the Save America Act push for voter ID could boost base participation. Historical precedents like 2018's 118 million underscore potential for highs in battleground states, but economic pressures, special election signals, and upcoming summer primaries or debates could widen gaps toward higher bins if enthusiasm sustains or drops if apathy sets in. Resolution awaits certified national House popular vote totals post-November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Wolumen
$6,132Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 110-130 million votes, reflecting uncertainty over voter enthusiasm amid President Trump's second term and polarized generic ballot polls favoring Democrats by narrowing margins. Recent March primaries in Texas, Illinois, and North Carolina posted record midterm turnout levels—driven by Democratic surges in early voting—signaling elevated engagement compared to 2022's 111 million votes, though GOP mobilization efforts like the Save America Act push for voter ID could boost base participation. Historical precedents like 2018's 118 million underscore potential for highs in battleground states, but economic pressures, special election signals, and upcoming summer primaries or debates could widen gaps toward higher bins if enthusiasm sustains or drops if apathy sets in. Resolution awaits certified national House popular vote totals post-November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Wolumen
$6,132Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 110-130 million votes, reflecting uncertainty over voter enthusiasm amid President Trump's second term and polarized generic ballot polls favoring Democrats by narrowing margins. Recent March primaries in Texas, Illinois, and North Carolina posted record midterm turnout levels—driven by Democratic surges in early voting—signaling elevated engagement compared to 2022's 111 million votes, though GOP mobilization efforts like the Save America Act push for voter ID could boost base participation. Historical precedents like 2018's 118 million underscore potential for highs in battleground states, but economic pressures, special election signals, and upcoming summer primaries or debates could widen gaps toward higher bins if enthusiasm sustains or drops if apathy sets in. Resolution awaits certified national House popular vote totals post-November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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