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Global Rates
Fed decision in January?
$445m Vol.
$11m today
$21m Liq.
1,369
Ends in 6 days
98%
No change
Bank of Japan decision in January?
$3m Vol.
$619k today
$216k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
99%
Fed decision in March?
$260k today
$570k Liq.
418
Ends in about 2 months
80%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$71.6k today
$854k Liq.
30
Ends in 11 months
27%
3 (75 bps)
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$968k Vol.
$83.6k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 days
Cut–Cut–Pause
Fed rate cut by...?
$428k Vol.
$99.5k Liq.
3
Ends in 5 months
61%
June Meeting
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$63.9k Vol.
$190k Liq.
22%
3.0%
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in February
$99.1k Vol.
$9.8k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
52%
Increase
ECB Interest Rates: February 2026
$322k Vol.
$71.7k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
Bank of Japan Decision in March?
$118k Vol.
$12.0k Liq.
77%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$588k Vol.
$131k Liq.
26
Ends in 4 months
8%
May 14
US GDP growth in Q4 2025?
$247k Vol.
$33.2k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 days
59%
>3.5%
Fed decision in April?
$739k Vol.
$351k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
73%
US recession by end of 2026?
$167k Vol.
$36.5k Liq.
22
Ends in about 1 year
23%
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$466k Vol.
$141k Liq.
94%
↓ 3.25%
Major rate cut chances under each Fed Chair?
$7.0k Vol.
$99.6k Liq.
24%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
GDP growth in 2025
$854k Vol.
$36.7k Liq.
86%
2.0–2.5%
Bank of Brazil Decision in March?
$24.4k Vol.
$4.8k Liq.
Decrease
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
$486k Vol.
$94.3k Liq.
1
75%
Cut–Pause–Pause
GDP growth in 2026
$8.6k Vol.
$8.3k Liq.
90%
>2.5%
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