Recent de-escalation in Middle East tensions, including reports of an extended US-Iran ceasefire and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, has driven sharp declines in WTI crude prices, with futures settling near $77–$80 per barrel as of June 16. This shift from earlier supply disruptions that pushed benchmarks above $100 has narrowed trader focus to the $70–$84 settlement range for month-end, where the two leading buckets together command over 62% implied probability. Persistent inventory draws and any delays in resuming flows could support prices near the upper end, while faster resolution of geopolitical risks favors the lower bracket amid soft demand signals. With only two weeks until settlement, near-term diplomatic developments and daily inventory data will likely determine the final outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
$77-$84 32%
$70-$77 29.6%
>$84 17%
$63-$70 9.0%
$241,529 Vol.
$241,529 Vol.
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
3%
$63-$70
9%
$70-$77
30%
$77-$84
32%
>$84
17%
$77-$84 32%
$70-$77 29.6%
>$84 17%
$63-$70 9.0%
$241,529 Vol.
$241,529 Vol.
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
3%
$63-$70
9%
$70-$77
30%
$77-$84
32%
>$84
17%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Recent de-escalation in Middle East tensions, including reports of an extended US-Iran ceasefire and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, has driven sharp declines in WTI crude prices, with futures settling near $77–$80 per barrel as of June 16. This shift from earlier supply disruptions that pushed benchmarks above $100 has narrowed trader focus to the $70–$84 settlement range for month-end, where the two leading buckets together command over 62% implied probability. Persistent inventory draws and any delays in resuming flows could support prices near the upper end, while faster resolution of geopolitical risks favors the lower bracket amid soft demand signals. With only two weeks until settlement, near-term diplomatic developments and daily inventory data will likely determine the final outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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