Geopolitical supply disruptions from the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz, tied to Middle East tensions involving Iran, remain the dominant driver supporting elevated crude oil prices and the 71.5% market-implied probability for a June WTI settlement above $84. With spot prices trading near $90 per barrel amid sharply lower inventories and a projected 6-plus million barrel per day supply deficit, the EIA's June outlook places Brent averages at $105 for the month under continued restrictions. Trader consensus reflects these tight fundamentals, tempered by recent reports of potential U.S.-Iran negotiations that could incrementally restore flows before month-end settlement and introduce downside volatility.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 70%
$77-$84 17%
$70-$77 6.9%
$63-$70 1.5%
$224,335 Vol.
$224,335 Vol.
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
2%
$70-$77
7%
$77-$84
17%
>$84
70%
>$84 70%
$77-$84 17%
$70-$77 6.9%
$63-$70 1.5%
$224,335 Vol.
$224,335 Vol.
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
2%
$70-$77
7%
$77-$84
17%
>$84
70%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Geopolitical supply disruptions from the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz, tied to Middle East tensions involving Iran, remain the dominant driver supporting elevated crude oil prices and the 71.5% market-implied probability for a June WTI settlement above $84. With spot prices trading near $90 per barrel amid sharply lower inventories and a projected 6-plus million barrel per day supply deficit, the EIA's June outlook places Brent averages at $105 for the month under continued restrictions. Trader consensus reflects these tight fundamentals, tempered by recent reports of potential U.S.-Iran negotiations that could incrementally restore flows before month-end settlement and introduce downside volatility.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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