Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65% implied probability for June WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84, reflecting persistent geopolitical risks from U.S.-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions that have driven prices up over 85% year-to-date amid the Middle East conflict. Recent EIA data showed U.S. commercial crude inventories plunging 6.2 million barrels for the week ended May 1—far exceeding expectations—bolstering supply tightness despite OPEC+'s modest May output hike of 206,000 barrels per day. June CL futures traded volatile around $94 after a sharp 7-8% intraday drop from 2026 highs near $103, but elevated Brent benchmarks above $110 underscore bullish momentum. Key catalysts ahead include weekly EIA releases and potential escalation in regional hostilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 65%
$77-$84 18%
$70-$77 4.9%
$63-$70 3.4%
$155,323 Vol.
$155,323 Vol.
<$42
2%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
2%
$63-$70
3%
$70-$77
5%
$77-$84
18%
>$84
65%
>$84 65%
$77-$84 18%
$70-$77 4.9%
$63-$70 3.4%
$155,323 Vol.
$155,323 Vol.
<$42
2%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
2%
$63-$70
3%
$70-$77
5%
$77-$84
18%
>$84
65%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65% implied probability for June WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84, reflecting persistent geopolitical risks from U.S.-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions that have driven prices up over 85% year-to-date amid the Middle East conflict. Recent EIA data showed U.S. commercial crude inventories plunging 6.2 million barrels for the week ended May 1—far exceeding expectations—bolstering supply tightness despite OPEC+'s modest May output hike of 206,000 barrels per day. June CL futures traded volatile around $94 after a sharp 7-8% intraday drop from 2026 highs near $103, but elevated Brent benchmarks above $110 underscore bullish momentum. Key catalysts ahead include weekly EIA releases and potential escalation in regional hostilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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