Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 69% implied probability to June WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84, reflecting persistent geopolitical risk premiums from Middle East tensions—particularly Strait of Hormuz disruptions—and the UAE's recent OPEC exit on May 1, which undermines coordinated supply cuts and fuels uncertainty. Current June 2026 futures trade around $101 per barrel, pulling back 1.7% in the last session amid profit-taking after highs near $105, yet bolstered by EIA data showing a 6.2 million-barrel US crude inventory draw for the week ended April 24, alongside record exports affirming net exporter status. EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent peaking at $115 in Q2 2026 before easing on anticipated demand moderation, with next weekly inventory release on May 6 as a pivotal near-term catalyst.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 69%
$77-$84 22%
$70-$77 4.0%
$63-$70 3.4%
$152,857 Vol.
$152,857 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
2%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
3%
$63-$70
3%
$70-$77
4%
$77-$84
22%
>$84
69%
>$84 69%
$77-$84 22%
$70-$77 4.0%
$63-$70 3.4%
$152,857 Vol.
$152,857 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
$17,066 Vol.
2%
$42-$49
$5,756 Vol.
1%
$49-$56
$6,755 Vol.
1%
$56-$63
$6,291 Vol.
3%
$63-$70
$19,944 Vol.
3%
$70-$77
$11,191 Vol.
4%
$77-$84
$12,652 Vol.
22%
>$84
$73,202 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 69% implied probability to June WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84, reflecting persistent geopolitical risk premiums from Middle East tensions—particularly Strait of Hormuz disruptions—and the UAE's recent OPEC exit on May 1, which undermines coordinated supply cuts and fuels uncertainty. Current June 2026 futures trade around $101 per barrel, pulling back 1.7% in the last session amid profit-taking after highs near $105, yet bolstered by EIA data showing a 6.2 million-barrel US crude inventory draw for the week ended April 24, alongside record exports affirming net exporter status. EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent peaking at $115 in Q2 2026 before easing on anticipated demand moderation, with next weekly inventory release on May 6 as a pivotal near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
ভলিউম
$152,857শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 69% implied probability to June WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84, reflecting persistent geopolitical risk premiums from Middle East tensions—particularly Strait of Hormuz disruptions—and the UAE's recent OPEC exit on May 1, which undermines coordinated supply cuts and fuels uncertainty. Current June 2026 futures trade around $101 per barrel, pulling back 1.7% in the last session amid profit-taking after highs near $105, yet bolstered by EIA data showing a 6.2 million-barrel US crude inventory draw for the week ended April 24, alongside record exports affirming net exporter status. EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent peaking at $115 in Q2 2026 before easing on anticipated demand moderation, with next weekly inventory release on May 6 as a pivotal near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
ভলিউম
$152,857শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 69% implied probability to June WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84, reflecting persistent geopolitical risk premiums from Middle East tensions—particularly Strait of Hormuz disruptions—and the UAE's recent OPEC exit on May 1, which undermines coordinated supply cuts and fuels uncertainty. Current June 2026 futures trade around $101 per barrel, pulling back 1.7% in the last session amid profit-taking after highs near $105, yet bolstered by EIA data showing a 6.2 million-barrel US crude inventory draw for the week ended April 24, alongside record exports affirming net exporter status. EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent peaking at $115 in Q2 2026 before easing on anticipated demand moderation, with next weekly inventory release on May 6 as a pivotal near-term catalyst.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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